Commanders @ Vikings Picks & Props

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The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. The projections expect Deebo Samuel Sr. to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.. Deebo Samuel Sr. has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this year (25.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.6%).. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving skills have improved this season, accumulating 4.9 adjusted receptions vs just 3.6 last season.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 63.6% to 79.0%.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. With an elite 97.6% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. The model projects Justin Jefferson to notch 10.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.. This year, the deficient Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded a massive 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-biggest rate in the league.. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 5.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.. With a terrific 3.4 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, T.J. Hockenson rates among the top pass-game TEs in the NFL.. T.J. Hockenson's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last season's 68.8% rate.. The Commanders pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.6%) versus tight ends this year (79.6%).

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. In this week's contest, Zach Ertz is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.0 targets.. Zach Ertz's 46.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 39.0.. With an impressive 3.8 adjusted receptions per game (86th percentile) this year, Zach Ertz stands among the best pass-game TEs in the league.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to notch 4.8 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.. Aaron Jones's 21.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 96th percentile for running backs.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Washington's safety corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.6% Route% this year shows a meaningful boost in his air attack volume over last year's 6.6% rate.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football in the red zone (64.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the league against the Commanders defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).. The Washington Commanders defense has allowed the 4th-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.92 per game this year.. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Right now, the 4th-least pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (51.2% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Commanders.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Vikings, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.. Marcus Mariota's throwing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 76.3% to 63.7%.. This year, the formidable Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded a mere 1.17 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 9th-least pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (52.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Commanders.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Vikings, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.. This year, the formidable Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded a mere 1.17 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in the league against the Commanders defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (270.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.. The Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency this year, giving up 9.39 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Vikings, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. In throwing a colossal 0.83 interceptions per game this year, Marcus Mariota ranks among the worst QBs in the league (21st percentile).. The Vikings have intercepted 0.27 balls per game this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst defense in the NFL by this stat. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.6% Route% this year shows a meaningful boost in his air attack volume over last year's 6.6% rate.. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has accrued a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. The projections expect Deebo Samuel Sr. to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.. Deebo Samuel Sr. has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this year (25.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.6%).. With an excellent 49.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been as one of the leading WRs in the league in the league.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 63.6% to 79.0%.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 5.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.. T.J. Hockenson's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last season's 68.8% rate.. This year, the weak Commanders defense has allowed a whopping 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-most in the NFL.. The Commanders pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs this year, allowing 9.69 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. With an elite 97.6% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. The model projects Justin Jefferson to notch 10.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The Commanders defense has surrendered the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (162.0) vs. wideouts this year.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 9.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to notch 4.8 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.. Aaron Jones's 21.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 96th percentile for running backs.. This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has conceded a monstrous 40.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 5th-most in the NFL.. The Commanders pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. RBs this year, conceding 8.14 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. In this week's contest, Zach Ertz is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 89th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.0 targets.. After accumulating 41.0 air yards per game last season, Zach Ertz has posted big gains this season, now pacing 54.0 per game.. Zach Ertz's 46.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 39.0.. Zach Ertz profiles as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 39.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

With a 42.1% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Commanders.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (131 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. The Vikings defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

This year, the feeble Washington Commanders run defense has allowed a whopping 133.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 8th-most in football.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. The Vikings defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to run on 46.1% of their chances: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

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With a 42.1% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Commanders.. While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been responsible for 24.2% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Washington's rushing attack in this contest at 34.8%.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s ground efficiency (4.74 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (79th percentile when it comes to RBs).. Chris Rodriguez comes in as one of the leading running backs in football at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.38 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 79th percentile.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (131 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to run on 40.5% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.. The model projects the Vikings to call the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 51.4 plays per game.. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.. The Commanders defensive ends rank as the 9th-best DE corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Right now, the 7th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.. In this game, Marcus Mariota is forecasted by the predictive model to accumulate the 9th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.8. . While Marcus Mariota has received 15.5% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Washington's running game in this contest at 9.4%.

This year, the feeble Washington Commanders run defense has allowed a whopping 133.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 8th-most in football.