Bijan Robinson has rushed for 995 yards and he's also a weapon in the passing game where he has 54 catches for 594 yards. He'll have a tough time finding running room against Seattle but should have success through the air. The Seahawks have an elite defense, especially against the run, but are vulnerable against pass-catching backs. They are 29th in the NFL in receiving yards allowed per game (39.7) to opposing RBs while allowing the second-most receptions per game (5.7) to the position. Robinson has logged 37+ receiving yards in nine of 12 games this year and the Falcons are 7.5-point underdogs this week which indicates a negative game script.
Cousins is a shell of his former self and will be a sitting duck for one of the fiercest pass rushes in the land. The Seahawks generate the second highest pressure rate per dropback and rank No. 3 in pass rush win rate at ESPN, sitting second in QB hurries and fourth in total sacks. They do this all without needing extra rushers, blitzing less than 20% of the time. That allows Mike Macdonald’s defense a lot of flexibility with the linebackers and secondary. Seattle can drop more into coverage or dedicate linebackers to plugging up the rushing lane, which is what it’ll do against the Falcons two-headed RB monster of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier.
Atlanta has played some softer foes in recent weeks, facing New York, New Orleans, and Carolina. Now, the Falcons take on one of the best two-way teams in the league. Seattle feasted on the Vikings’ shaky QB situation this weekend, creating a ton of chaos in the pocket and upping its stock as the premier stop unit in the land. That vaunted pass rush will be chasing down the aging legs of Kirk Cousins in Week 14. The Seahawks opened with the half point hook on the touchdown, which may scare off some. But -8 is an undervalued key number in football betting these days and this spread could quickly move to -8.5 to -9 considering the contrast in public opinion.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has earned 26.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Seattle's offense near the end zone in this contest at 33.4%.. After totaling 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has gotten better this year, currently pacing 112.0 per game.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 89.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 57.6.
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Falcons are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. With a fantastic 68.1% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places among the most on-target passers in the league.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Falcons are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.. With a fantastic 68.1% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places among the most on-target passers in the league.. With a stellar 8.44 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold places among the most effective quarterbacks in the NFL.
With a 7.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are overwhelmingly favored this week, implying much more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.. The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The 5th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).. Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 32.8 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.. Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Falcons are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Falcons are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
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