LA -3.0 o45.0
JAC 3.0 u45.0
NE -7.0 o42.0
TEN 7.0 u42.0
NO 5.5 o46.5
CHI -5.5 u46.5
MIA 3.0 o36.5
CLE -3.0 u36.5
CAR -1.0 o42.0
NYJ 1.0 u42.0
PHI -1.5 o43.5
MIN 1.5 u43.5
LV 13.0 o45.5
KC -13.0 u45.5
NYG 7.5 o40.5
DEN -7.5 u40.5
IND 1.5 o48.0
LAC -1.5 u48.0
WAS 1.0 o54.5
DAL -1.0 u54.5
GB -7.0 o44.5
ARI 7.0 u44.5
ATL 2.5 o47.0
SF -2.5 u47.0
TB 6.0 o53.0
DET -6.0 u53.0
HOU 3.5 o41.0
SEA -3.5 u41.0
Final Oct 16
PIT 31 -5.5 o45.0
CIN 33 5.5 u45.0
Washington 2nd NFC East3-3
Dallas 3rd NFC East2-3

Washington @ Dallas Picks & Props

WAS vs DAL Picks

NFL Picks
Score a Touchdown
Chris Moore logo Chris Moore Score a Touchdown (Yes: +1000)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Deebo Samuel isn’t fully healthy, dealing with a heel injury and managing just 15 yards last week. Meanwhile, Jayden Daniels looks back to form, throwing three touchdowns in Week 6—including scores to Chris Moore and Luke McCaffrey. Head coach Dan Quinn also noted that WR1 Terry McLaurin will practice this week, but his status remains uncertain. In a strong indoor matchup against the Cowboys—who are giving up 2.0 passing touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers—both Moore and McCaffrey are back on the radar for Week 7. Moore is +1000 to score this week after posting an 83% route share in Week 6. He tied for the team lead in targets (5) and led all Washington receivers with 46 yards. At worst, Moore is the WR3 in a plus matchup with a quarterback hitting his stride. At best, he could function as the WR1 if Deebo is not at 100 percent and McLaurin sits again. At this number, it's a full-unit play.

Passing Touchdowns
Jayden Daniels logo Jayden Daniels o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Daniels has been playing without two of his top weapons the past couple of weeks, but Daniels still threw for three TDs in the Monday loss to Chicago and now faces a Cowboys defense that is bottom of the barrel vs. the pass, including allowing 2.5 passing TDs per game. They gave up 3 through the air to Bryce Young. You can only imagine what Daniels will do Sunday night. Three-plus passing TDs are +375. Just sayin'.

Score a Touchdown
Javonte Williams logo
Javonte Williams Score a Touchdown (Yes: -150)
Projection 0.89 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Score a Touchdown
George Pickens logo
George Pickens Score a Touchdown (Yes: +150)
Projection 0.55 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Score a Touchdown
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson Score a Touchdown (Yes: +160)
Projection 0.49 (Yes)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Receptions Made
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson o4.5 Receptions Made (-120)
Projection 5.87 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Jake Ferguson's 7.4 adjusted catches per game this year represents a material progression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 4.1 rate.
Passing Completions
Jayden Daniels logo
Jayden Daniels o21.5 Passing Completions (+103)
Projection 23.86 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.. This year, the anemic Cowboys defense has surrendered a colossal 81.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the league.
Passing Yards
Jayden Daniels logo
Jayden Daniels o229.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 271.94 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.. Opposing offenses have passed for the most adjusted yards in the league (288.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o268.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 290.71 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).. Dak Prescott has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (274.0) this season than he did last season (244.0).. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (251.0 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
Receiving Yards
Jake Ferguson logo
Jake Ferguson o39.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 56.98 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This year, the deficient Commanders defense has been torched for a whopping 60.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 8th-worst in football.
Receiving Yards
George Pickens logo
George Pickens o61.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 80.25 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. This week, George Pickens is expected by the projections to place in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.9 targets.
Receiving Yards
Deebo Samuel logo
Deebo Samuel o59.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 79.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.. In this contest, Deebo Samuel Sr. is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.5 targets.
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WAS vs DAL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

WAS vs DAL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

George Pickens Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

George Pickens
G. Pickens
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

George Pickens

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.55
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.55

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Jake Ferguson Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Jake Ferguson
J. Ferguson
tight end TE • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.49
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.49
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.49

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Javonte Williams Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Javonte Williams
J. Williams
running back RB • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.89
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.89
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Javonte Williams

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.89
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.89

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Deebo Samuel Score a Touchdown Props • Washington

Deebo Samuel
D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • Washington
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. Deebo Samuel Sr. has accumulated many more air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.55
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.55

The projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. Deebo Samuel Sr. has accumulated many more air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Score a Touchdown Props • Washington

Jacory Croskey-Merritt
J. Croskey-Merritt
running back RB • Washington
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.59
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. This year, the anemic Cowboys defense has surrendered a colossal 81.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the league.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.59
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.59

The projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. This year, the anemic Cowboys defense has surrendered a colossal 81.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the league.

Jonathan Mingo Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Jonathan Mingo
J. Mingo
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Jalen Cropper Score a Touchdown Props • Dallas

Jalen Cropper
J. Cropper
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

Noah Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Washington

Noah Brown
N. Brown
wide receiver WR • Washington
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

WAS vs DAL Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'CC95531' is picking Washington to cover (-2.5)

CC95531 is #1 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Spread
WAS
DAL
Total

'CC95531' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Under (52.5)

CC95531 is #1 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +4950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'PMaeson' is picking Dallas to cover (+2.5)

PMaeson is #2 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

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WAS
DAL
Total

'PMaeson' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Over (54.5)

PMaeson is #2 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'jenjay23' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Under (55.0)

jenjay23 is #4 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'jenjay23' is picking Dallas to cover (+1.5)

jenjay23 is #4 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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WAS
DAL
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'FAMCOLLECTOR' is picking Dallas to cover (+1.5)

FAMCOLLECTOR is #4 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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WAS
DAL
Total

'FAMCOLLECTOR' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Over (54.5)

FAMCOLLECTOR is #4 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'witt297' is picking Washington to cover (-2.5)

witt297 is #5 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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WAS
DAL
Total

'witt297' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Under (52.5)

witt297 is #5 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'ckope1' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Under (55.0)

ckope1 is #5 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'sircapperr' is picking Washington to cover (-1.5)

sircapperr is #6 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

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WAS
DAL
Total

'sircapperr' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Under (54.5)

sircapperr is #6 on picking games that Washington is in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'london79' picks Washington vs Dallas to go Under (52.5)

london79 is #7 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'london79' is picking Dallas to cover (+2.5)

london79 is #7 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.

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WAS
DAL

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