Indianapolis @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 9th-most in football. The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 9th-most in football. Quentin Johnston has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which places him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 4th-best in football this year. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's DT corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 9th-most in football. The opposing side have rushed for the 5th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Jonathan Taylor to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (11.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played). When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 4th-best in football this year. Jonathan Taylor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 56.7% to 90.9%. Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 80th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an exceptional 0.14 per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 4th-best in football this year. Daniel Jones's 69.7% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a noteable growth in his passing precision over last season's 63.4% rate. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Los Angeles's DT corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average). The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may fall-off. In this week's game, Justin Herbert is anticipated by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.6. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 9th-most in football.