New England @ Tennessee Picks & Props

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.7% red zone pass rate. While Rhamondre Stevenson has accounted for 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New England's passing attack near the goal line in this contest at 11.4%. Rhamondre Stevenson has put up quite a few more air yards this year (7.0 per game) than he did last year (-3.0 per game). The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board. This year, the feeble Titans defense has allowed a massive 75.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst rate in football.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.7% red zone pass rate. The predictive model expects Stefon Diggs to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (24.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played). Stefon Diggs's 49.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 75th percentile for wideouts. The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board. Stefon Diggs's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 73.7% to 86.9%.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.7% red zone pass rate. Hunter Henry has accrued a colossal 48.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among TEs. Hunter Henry has been in the 95th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 41.2 figure this year. The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board. With a fantastic rate of 0.43 per game through the air (88th percentile), Hunter Henry ranks among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs this year.

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a giant -7-point underdog in this week's contest. The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Patriots defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the tough Patriots run defense has surrendered a puny 0.50 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a giant -7-point underdog in this week's contest. The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. Tony Pollard's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 74.3% to 83.8%. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Patriots defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the tough Patriots run defense has surrendered a puny 0.50 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a giant -7-point underdog in this week's contest. The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.6% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect Chig Okonkwo to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this game (13.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.9% in games he has played). Chig Okonkwo places in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 30.3 mark this year. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Patriots defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.7% red zone pass rate. The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all pass game stats across the board.