Arizona @ San Francisco Picks & Props

The 49ers will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. Mac Jones's 68.1% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 64.9% mark. With an atrocious ratio of only 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Mac Jones has been as one of the worst rushing quarterbacks in football since the start of last season.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 128.3 total plays run: the 5th-most among all games this week. When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season. With a remarkable 70.4% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Kyler Murray rates among the most accurate passers in football.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 128.3 total plays run: the 5th-most among all games this week. Trey McBride has put up a monstrous 55.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Trey McBride rates in the 100th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 61.1 figure since the start of last season. When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The 49ers will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. Since the start of last season, the feeble Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded a massive 74.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-largest rate in football.

The 49ers will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. While Jake Tonges has accounted for 2.9% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of San Francisco's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 13.2%. With a terrific 87.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (75th percentile) this year, Jake Tonges stands among the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to tight ends.

The 49ers will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. With an elite 35.7% Red Zone Target Share (99th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL. As it relates to air yards, Christian McCaffrey ranks in the lofty 100th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 18.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

The 49ers will be starting backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are expected by our trusted projection set to call 65.3 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. Jauan Jennings has posted a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among wideouts. Jauan Jennings's 58.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 83rd percentile for wide receivers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 128.3 total plays run: the 5th-most among all games this week. The model projects James Conner to be a less important option in his offense's running game near the end zone this week (56.3% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (71.1% in games he has played). With a top-tier 10.0% Red Zone Target% (85th percentile) this year, James Conner ranks among the pass-game running backs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season. James Conner's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 89.1% to 100.0%.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 128.3 total plays run: the 5th-most among all games this week. When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.