New Orleans @ Seattle Picks & Props

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this game (29.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (22.2% in games he has played).

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. Since the start of last season, the daunting Seahawks run defense has given up a meager 0.53 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. With a sizeable 25.0% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league. As it relates to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 79.0 per game. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 62.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 86th percentile for wideouts.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. While Juwan Johnson has been responsible for 15.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's offense near the goal line this week at 21.0%.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. Sam Darnold is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for just 0.0% of his team's carries in the red zone this year, placing him in the 3rd percentile among quarterbacks. With an impressive rate of 1.95 per game (90th percentile), Sam Darnold ranks as one of the top TD passers in football since the start of last season. Sam Darnold has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (2nd percentile).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. With an extraordinary 20.0% Red Zone Target% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Kenneth Walker III has been one of the best possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs, completing an outstanding 89.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context). This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL. In regards to air yards, Alvin Kamara grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling an astounding 3.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).