Saints @ Seahawks Picks & Props

The Dolphins come into this game looking to capitalize on their recent form, which has showcased both offensive firepower and defensive resilience. Currently, they rank 2nd in the league for points per game, averaging a solid 28.4. This high-scoring capability will be crucial as they face a Patriots team that has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball.. Meanwhile, the Patriots have had their ups and downs this season, ranking 20th in points scored per game at 18.3. While New England boasts a defense that ranks 10th in the league for yards allowed, their inability to consistently convert drives into points has left them at a disadvantage. Quarterback play will be pivotal, as the Patriots need to establish a rhythm to keep pace with the Dolphins' explosive offense.. In terms of betting, the Dolphins are likely to be favored, reflecting their stronger overall performance and recent results. Bettors should keep an eye on the injury report leading up to kickoff, as key players on either side could significantly impact the game's outcome.. As the Dolphins aim to maintain their playoff position and the Patriots strive to stay relevant in the race, fans can expect an intense battle. With the stakes high and both teams eager for a win, this game promises to deliver excitement and drama as they clash under the lights.

The Dolphins come into this game looking to capitalize on their recent form, which has showcased both offensive firepower and defensive resilience. Currently, they rank 2nd in the league for points per game, averaging a solid 28.4. This high-scoring capability will be crucial as they face a Patriots team that has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball.. Meanwhile, the Patriots have had their ups and downs this season, ranking 20th in points scored per game at 18.3. While New England boasts a defense that ranks 10th in the league for yards allowed, their inability to consistently convert drives into points has left them at a disadvantage. Quarterback play will be pivotal, as the Patriots need to establish a rhythm to keep pace with the Dolphins' explosive offense.. In terms of betting, the Dolphins are likely to be favored, reflecting their stronger overall performance and recent results. Bettors should keep an eye on the injury report leading up to kickoff, as key players on either side could significantly impact the game's outcome.. As the Dolphins aim to maintain their playoff position and the Patriots strive to stay relevant in the race, fans can expect an intense battle. With the stakes high and both teams eager for a win, this game promises to deliver excitement and drama as they clash under the lights.

The Dolphins come into this game looking to capitalize on their recent form, which has showcased both offensive firepower and defensive resilience. Currently, they rank 2nd in the league for points per game, averaging a solid 28.4. This high-scoring capability will be crucial as they face a Patriots team that has struggled to find consistency on both sides of the ball.. Meanwhile, the Patriots have had their ups and downs this season, ranking 20th in points scored per game at 18.3. While New England boasts a defense that ranks 10th in the league for yards allowed, their inability to consistently convert drives into points has left them at a disadvantage. Quarterback play will be pivotal, as the Patriots need to establish a rhythm to keep pace with the Dolphins' explosive offense.. In terms of betting, the Dolphins are likely to be favored, reflecting their stronger overall performance and recent results. Bettors should keep an eye on the injury report leading up to kickoff, as key players on either side could significantly impact the game's outcome.. As the Dolphins aim to maintain their playoff position and the Patriots strive to stay relevant in the race, fans can expect an intense battle. With the stakes high and both teams eager for a win, this game promises to deliver excitement and drama as they clash under the lights.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.. The leading projections forecast Chris Olave to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this game (28.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (22.2% in games he has played).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.. With a sizeable 25.0% Red Zone Target% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.. As it relates to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 79.0 per game.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 62.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 86th percentile for wideouts.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.. Sam Darnold is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for just 0.0% of his team's carries in the red zone this year, placing him in the 3rd percentile among quarterbacks.. With an impressive rate of 1.95 per game (90th percentile), Sam Darnold ranks as one of the top TD passers in football since the start of last season.. Sam Darnold has run for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the lowest figures in football among QBs (2nd percentile).

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Seahawks run defense has given up a meager 0.53 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.. While Juwan Johnson has been responsible for 15.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's offense near the goal line this week at 20.3%.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.. In regards to air yards, Alvin Kamara grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling an astounding 3.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.. Chris Olave's 53.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 73.7% figure.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.. Juwan Johnson's 62.6% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 76.7% figure.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.. This week, Kenneth Walker III is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.2 targets.. With a sizeable 13.3% Target% (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.. With a terrific 3.9 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III stands as one of the best running backs in the pass game in the NFL.

The Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).. An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 51.0% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Seattle Seahawks since the start of last season (only 55.9 per game on average).. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

The Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).. An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 51.0% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Seattle Seahawks since the start of last season (only 55.9 per game on average).. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.. With a fantastic 4.7 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Alvin Kamara stands among the top pass-game running backs in the NFL.

The Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).. An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 51.0% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Seattle Seahawks since the start of last season (only 55.9 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to attempt 33.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.. The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 8th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.. With an impressive record of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), Sam Darnold rates among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.. The Saints defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 5th-most in football.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.. Opposing QBs have passed for the 5th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 204.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the daunting Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a meager 7.2 yards.

The Saints have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kellen Moore, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).. This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are giant -7-point underdogs.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.. The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 8th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

The Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).. An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game.. Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 50.7% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Seattle Seahawks since the start of last season (only 55.9 per game on average).. The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to attempt 32.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.. This week, Kenneth Walker III is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.2 targets.. With a sizeable 13.3% Target% (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.. With a fantastic 26.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III places as one of the leading RBs in the pass game in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.. The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to earn 10.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.. The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be much more involved in his team's passing game in this contest (31.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (26.0% in games he has played).. As it relates to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a remarkable 79.0 per game.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.. Alvin Kamara's 4.3 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a noteable decline in his receiving ability over last season's 5.7 rate.. Alvin Kamara's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.90 rate last year.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Saints defense has yielded a whopping 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-most in football.. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.58 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the league.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.. Juwan Johnson's 62.6% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 76.7% figure.. Juwan Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, notching just 5.87 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.28 rate last season.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season.. Chris Olave's 53.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 73.7% figure.. Chris Olave's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging just 4.62 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.00 mark last year.

The Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).. An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. The New Orleans Saints defense has produced the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, giving up 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.3% run rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.

The Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).. An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Kenneth Walker III has averaged 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (78th percentile).. The New Orleans Saints defense has produced the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, giving up 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.3% run rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to garner 18.0 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.. With an outstanding rate of 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (89th percentile), Alvin Kamara has been among the top pure rushers in the NFL since the start of last season.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.3% run rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.. The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to garner 18.0 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all running backs, Alvin Kamara grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, making up 61.5% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.3% run rate.. The predictive model expects this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.. The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions this week.

The Seahawks feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).. An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.. The projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to have 138.9 offensive plays called: the most out of all the games this week.. In this game, Kenneth Walker III is anticipated by the predictive model to place in the 100th percentile among RBs with 22.9 carries.

The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Seattle Seahawks since the start of last season (only 55.9 per game on average).. Sam Darnold has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (3.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.9%).