Green Bay @ Cleveland Picks & Props

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a huge -7-point underdog in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game. The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the strong Green Bay Packers run defense has given up a puny 0.68 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Packers. Tucker Kraft has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends. In regards to air yards, Tucker Kraft grades out in the lofty 77th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 22.0 per game. Tucker Kraft's 29.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 78th percentile for TEs. The Green Bay O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Packers. With a sizeable 27.3% Red Zone Target% (86th percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. Romeo Doubs has notched a whopping 68.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts. The Green Bay O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board. Since the start of last season, the porous Cleveland Browns defense has given up a monstrous 1.26 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a huge -7-point underdog in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game. The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) since the start of last season. Jerry Jeudy has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 19.4% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Browns being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to pass on 64.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week. The Browns have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game. The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (34.3 per game) since the start of last season. David Njoku has totaled a colossal 52.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Packers. The Green Bay O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's group of DEs has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the NFL.

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in the red zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Packers. The Green Bay O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board. Jordan Love has been one of the top TD throwers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 1.71 per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile. The rushing TD field reads "0" on the back of Jordan Love's trading card since the start of last season. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Cleveland's group of DEs has been terrific since the start of last season, profiling as the best in the NFL.