SPREAD
MIN
-3.0 spread
-4.3
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
8.98%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
MIN
-3.0 spread
Close Modal
-4.3
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
8.98%
EV
Both teams come into this game with distinctive strengths and weaknesses that could heavily influence the outcome. The New England Patriots have shown resilience, but their offensive production has been inconsistent, leading to questions about their ability to keep pace with the high-scoring Miami Dolphins. Miami, on the other hand, boasts one of the league's most dynamic offenses, capable of explosive plays that can change the game in an instant.. When analyzing the betting lines, the Dolphins may be favored due to their offensive prowess and home-field advantage. Bettors should keep an eye on the point spread, as it could shift based on late injury reports or changes in public betting trends. The over/under line will also be a point of interest, especially considering Miami's propensity for high-scoring games.. Defensively, the Patriots will need to tighten up if they hope to contain the Dolphins' playmakers. If New England can establish a strong ground game and control the clock, they might mitigate Miami's offensive firepower. However, if the Dolphins can jump out to an early lead, it could force the Patriots into a one-dimensional game plan, which historically hasn't favored New England.
-3.5
-106
TOTAL
46.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.1
DIFFERENCE
19.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
46.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.1
DIFFERENCE
19.66%
EV
Both teams come into this game with distinctive strengths and weaknesses that could heavily influence the outcome. The New England Patriots have shown resilience, but their offensive production has been inconsistent, leading to questions about their ability to keep pace with the high-scoring Miami Dolphins. Miami, on the other hand, boasts one of the league's most dynamic offenses, capable of explosive plays that can change the game in an instant.. When analyzing the betting lines, the Dolphins may be favored due to their offensive prowess and home-field advantage. Bettors should keep an eye on the point spread, as it could shift based on late injury reports or changes in public betting trends. The over/under line will also be a point of interest, especially considering Miami's propensity for high-scoring games.. Defensively, the Patriots will need to tighten up if they hope to contain the Dolphins' playmakers. If New England can establish a strong ground game and control the clock, they might mitigate Miami's offensive firepower. However, if the Dolphins can jump out to an early lead, it could force the Patriots into a one-dimensional game plan, which historically hasn't favored New England.
o42.5
-110
MONEYLINE
MIN
-165 moneyline
MIN
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
MIN
-165 moneyline
Close Modal
MIN
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.11%
EV
Both teams come into this game with distinctive strengths and weaknesses that could heavily influence the outcome. The New England Patriots have shown resilience, but their offensive production has been inconsistent, leading to questions about their ability to keep pace with the high-scoring Miami Dolphins. Miami, on the other hand, boasts one of the league's most dynamic offenses, capable of explosive plays that can change the game in an instant.. When analyzing the betting lines, the Dolphins may be favored due to their offensive prowess and home-field advantage. Bettors should keep an eye on the point spread, as it could shift based on late injury reports or changes in public betting trends. The over/under line will also be a point of interest, especially considering Miami's propensity for high-scoring games.. Defensively, the Patriots will need to tighten up if they hope to contain the Dolphins' playmakers. If New England can establish a strong ground game and control the clock, they might mitigate Miami's offensive firepower. However, if the Dolphins can jump out to an early lead, it could force the Patriots into a one-dimensional game plan, which historically hasn't favored New England.
-165
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
26.83%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
26.83%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed a staggering 1.68 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-highest rate in the league.
+650
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.15 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
18.95%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.15 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
18.95%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (60.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
+800
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.59 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.59 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.07%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (60.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
+100
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.56 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.56 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.88%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. With a remarkable 31.1% Red Zone Target Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Jefferson ranks as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.
+115
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.48 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.48 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
12.88%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (60.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
+150
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.64 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
10.57%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.64 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
10.57%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. While Jordan Mason has received 4.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Minnesota's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 11.5%.
-130
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.16 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.16 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (60.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.
+550
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-6.84%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-6.84%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. With an elite 12.2% Red Zone Target Rate (78th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson ranks among the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
+300
RECEPTIONS MADE
6.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
11.82%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
6.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
11.82%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. With a high 99.2% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Jefferson stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.. In this week's game, Justin Jefferson is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among WRs with 10.7 targets.
o5.5
-118
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.49%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.49%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. This week, Jordan Mason is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.8 targets.. While Jordan Mason has received 4.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Minnesota's passing offense in this game at 11.2%.
o2.5
+102
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.18%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.18%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o2.5
+105
RECEPTIONS MADE
6.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
7.46%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
6.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
7.46%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.. With a remarkable 7.6 adjusted receptions per game (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Ja'Marr Chase has been as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the NFL.
o5.5
-150
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.39%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
6.39%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. The model projects T.J. Hockenson to accrue 6.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs.. T.J. Hockenson's 40.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 91st percentile for TEs.
o3.5
-155
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.4%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.4%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o2.5
-122
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.32%
EV
When talking about pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season.. Since the start of last season, the tough Minnesota Vikings defense has given up a paltry 68.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-best rate in the league.. The Vikings defense has given up the 8th-fewest passing touchdowns in football: 1.32 per game since the start of last season.
u1.5
-134
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-14.87%
EV
The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.. When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been terrific since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in football.
u1.5
-141
PASSING COMPLETIONS
22.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
17.54%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
22.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
17.54%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.
o19.5
-120
PASSING COMPLETIONS
24.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
13.08%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
24.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
13.08%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o21.5
-130
PASSING ATTEMPTS
36.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
19.89%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
36.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.3
DIFFERENCE
19.89%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o32.5
-126
PASSING ATTEMPTS
32.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
16.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
32.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.4
DIFFERENCE
16.06%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.
o30.5
-108
PASSING YARDS
249.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+36.2
DIFFERENCE
26.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
249.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+36.2
DIFFERENCE
26.28%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (240.0 per game) against the Bengals defense since the start of last season.. The Bengals pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 8.02 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-most in the league.
o210.5
-118
PASSING YARDS
260.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+22.8
DIFFERENCE
25.16%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
260.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+22.8
DIFFERENCE
25.16%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o237.5
-112
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
1.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
11.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
11.66%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o0.5
-168
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-12.36%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-12.36%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.
o0.5
-155
RECEIVING YARDS
89.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.5
DIFFERENCE
25.08%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
89.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.5
DIFFERENCE
25.08%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. With a high 99.2% Route Participation Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Jefferson stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.. In this week's game, Justin Jefferson is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among WRs with 10.7 targets.
o74.5
-118
RECEIVING YARDS
26.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
24.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
26.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.2
DIFFERENCE
24.96%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o19.5
-115
RECEIVING YARDS
84.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.7
DIFFERENCE
23.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
84.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.7
DIFFERENCE
23.8%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o72.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
42.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.2
DIFFERENCE
21.94%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
42.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.2
DIFFERENCE
21.94%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. The model projects T.J. Hockenson to accrue 6.5 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.. In regards to air yards, T.J. Hockenson grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a striking 49.0 per game.
o37.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
19.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.8
DIFFERENCE
21.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
19.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.8
DIFFERENCE
21.7%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.0 per game) since the start of last season.
o15.5
-118
RECEIVING YARDS
19.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.6
DIFFERENCE
21.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
19.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.6
DIFFERENCE
21.62%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. The Bengals defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.. This week, Jordan Mason is forecasted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.8 targets.. While Jordan Mason has received 4.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Minnesota's passing offense in this game at 11.2%.
o13.5
-112
RUSHING YARDS
19.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.7
DIFFERENCE
26.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
19.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.7
DIFFERENCE
26.62%
EV
The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.. With a 41.2% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-focused team in football has been the Vikings.. While Carson Wentz has accounted for 0.0% of his team's run game usage in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Minnesota's running game in this game at 17.9%.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league. in the league.
o10.5
-105
RUSHING YARDS
69.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.2
DIFFERENCE
23.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
69.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.2
DIFFERENCE
23.73%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.. Jordan Mason's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year shows a noteworthy diminishment in his rushing proficiency over last year's 5.4 figure.
u78.5
-111
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
20.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
20.45%
EV
The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.. With a 41.2% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-focused team in football has been the Vikings.. While Carson Wentz has accounted for 0.0% of his team's run game usage in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Minnesota's running game in this game at 17.9%.. When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league. in the league.
o2.5
-175
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
16.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
18.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
16.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.4
DIFFERENCE
18.45%
EV
The Vikings may pass less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz.. The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
u18.5
-122
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
16.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
16.27%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
16.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
16.27%
EV
The Cincinnati Bengals may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Jake Browning.. The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.. Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 34.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
u18.5
-115
RUSHING YARDS
11.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.91%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
11.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
5.91%
EV
Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. While Jake Browning has received 1.4% of his team's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Cincinnati's run game in this game at 12.9%.. The Vikings defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
o10.5
-110
RUSHING YARDS
69.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
3.31%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
69.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
3.31%
EV
Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. The model projects Chase Brown to garner 18.0 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.. While Chase Brown has received 66.9% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's rushing attack in this contest at 81.7%.. Chase Brown has generated 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (86th percentile).. The Vikings defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
o68.5
-115
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-11.39%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-11.39%
EV
Right now, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bengals.. While Jake Browning has received 1.4% of his team's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Cincinnati's run game in this game at 12.9%.. The Vikings defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
o2.5
-154