Patriots @ Ravens Picks & Props

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Our trusted projections expect Zay Flowers to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game (21.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.1% in games he has played).. When it comes to air yards, Zay Flowers grades out in the lofty 80th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a superb 71.0 per game.. Zay Flowers has been in the 94th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 67.7 figure this year.. Zay Flowers's 71.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a significant gain in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.7% figure.. The Patriots defense has conceded the 5th-most receiving touchdowns in the league to WRs: 1.14 per game this year.

With an extraordinary 26.4% Red Zone Target% (95th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews has been among the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.. Mark Andrews's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 83rd percentile for tight ends.. Mark Andrews grades out in the 86th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the daunting New England Patriots run defense has conceded a paltry 0.50 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. Hunter Henry has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 27.9% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. When it comes to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a massive 42.0 per game.

Derrick Henry has totaled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the daunting New England Patriots run defense has conceded a paltry 0.50 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

Lamar Jackson has been among the leading TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 1.50 per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the daunting New England Patriots run defense has conceded a paltry 0.50 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. With a remarkable 18.0% Red Zone Target% (76th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs ranks as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the end zone in the league.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. The Ravens defense has allowed the 10th-most receiving TDs in football to running backs: 0.21 per game this year.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Stefon Diggs's 45.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 53.8.. Stefon Diggs's 4.2 adjusted catches per game this year indicates an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 5.7 mark.. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. Mark Andrews's 72.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a substantial decline in his receiving skills over last season's 81.8% rate.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. Derrick Henry's 78.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a material regression in his receiving skills over last year's 91.9% figure.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Hunter Henry to accrue 5.8 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Lamar Jackson has been among the leading TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 1.50 per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the porous New England Patriots defense has surrendered a whopping 1.71 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-biggest rate in the NFL.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.0% Adjusted Completion%).

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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The leading projections forecast the Patriots to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the fewest out of all QBs.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to call the 5th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the fewest out of all QBs.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. The Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (42.0) vs. running backs this year.

In this week's game, Zay Flowers is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 94th percentile among WRs with 8.6 targets.. Zay Flowers has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 29.6% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. When it comes to air yards, Zay Flowers grades out in the lofty 80th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a superb 71.0 per game.. Zay Flowers rates as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 60.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.. The Patriots pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wideouts this year, yielding 8.56 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to notch 4.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.. With a remarkable 16.7% Target% (84th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.. This year, the feeble New England Patriots defense has been gouged for a colossal 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 6th-worst in the league.. This year, the porous Patriots pass defense has given up a whopping 77.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The New England offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.. Stefon Diggs's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.7% to 83.2%.

Derrick Henry has totaled a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.2%) vs. RBs this year (85.2%).

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.. At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the New England Patriots.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The projections expect Hunter Henry to accrue 5.8 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. When it comes to air yards, Hunter Henry ranks in the towering 92nd percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a massive 42.0 per game.

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. Derrick Henry's 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a meaningful drop-off in his rushing skills over last season's 118.0 figure.. Derrick Henry's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this season conveys a meaningful reduction in his running talent over last season's 6.2 figure.. The opposing side have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 91.0 per game) against the Patriots defense this year.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. After making up 26.1% of his team's run game usage last year, Lamar Jackson has played a smaller part in the ground game this year, currently comprising only 19.5%.. Lamar Jackson has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).. The opposing side have run for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 91.0 per game) against the Patriots defense this year.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have only 127.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.9 plays per game.. After making up 26.1% of his team's run game usage last year, Lamar Jackson has played a smaller part in the ground game this year, currently comprising only 19.5%.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.5% of their downs: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.. In this game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.3 rush attempts.. Derrick Henry has been given 62.2% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New England's DE corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football. in football.