Panthers @ Saints Picks & Props

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.7 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Juwan Johnson grades out as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile. This year, the shaky Panthers pass defense has allowed a staggering 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-biggest rate in the league.

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Chris Olave to notch 9.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs. Chris Olave's 68.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 45.5.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.7 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New Orleans's group of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the league.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 130.7 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 9.6% this year, which ranks in the 81st percentile among RBs. Rico Dowdle's 84.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a significant growth in his receiving skills over last season's 79.9% rate. The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.9%) to running backs this year (88.9%).

The model projects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Chuba Hubbard has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Xavier Legette has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Devaughn Vele has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Coker has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Mason Tipton has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.