Chicago @ Minnesota Picks & Props

A passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -3-point underdog this week. The predictive model expects the Bears to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.7 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Right now, the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (64.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. While Justin Jefferson has earned 23.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Minnesota's pass game near the goal line in this contest at 30.7%.

A passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -3-point underdog this week. The predictive model expects the Bears to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.7 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. While D'Andre Swift has received 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Chicago's pass game near the goal line this week at 6.5%.

A passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -3-point underdog this week. The predictive model expects the Bears to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.7 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Right now, the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (64.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Right now, the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (64.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Aaron Jones to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game (12.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).

A passing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -3-point underdog this week. The predictive model expects the Bears to call the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The Bears have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.7 plays per game. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Right now, the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (64.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.