Buffalo @ Miami Picks & Props

Khalil Shakir has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 22.9% this year, which places him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers. The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. Khalil Shakir grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a stellar 81.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts. Khalil Shakir ranks in the 80th percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.30 per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in football vs. the Dolphins defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. While Greg Dulcich has garnered 2.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Miami's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 10.7%. Greg Dulcich's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a noteworthy growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 47.9% rate.

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. With an impressive 25.7% Red Zone Target% (92nd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Jaylen Waddle has totaled significantly more air yards this year (74.0 per game) than he did last year (56.0 per game).

The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. James Cook's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 84.6% to 92.9%. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in football vs. the Dolphins defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).

Dalton Kincaid has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 15.6% this year, which puts him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Dalton Kincaid has accumulated a monstrous 44.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among tight ends. Dalton Kincaid slots into the 96th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a colossal 40.8 mark this year. The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. Dalton Kincaid's 82.0% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a significant growth in his receiving skills over last season's 62.0% figure.

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. With an impressive 17.5% Red Zone Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, De'Von Achane has been among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume near the end zone in the league. When it comes to air yards, De'Von Achane ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among running backs this year, averaging a striking 5.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. Josh Allen's 70.5% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable improvement in his throwing accuracy over last year's 64.7% mark. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in football vs. the Dolphins defense this year (77.8% Adjusted Completion%).

At a -8-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach. Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. With an awful ratio of just 0.00 rushing TDs per game (2nd percentile), Tua Tagovailoa ranks among the bottom running quarterbacks in the league this year. The Buffalo cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst CB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.