Kansas City @ Philadelphia picks

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.. The projections expect A.J. Brown to total 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.. A.J. Brown's 86.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 77.6.. A.J. Brown has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an excellent 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.. The projections expect A.J. Brown to total 9.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.. A.J. Brown's 86.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 77.6.. A.J. Brown has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an excellent 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs.. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. Kareem Hunt's 38.1% Route Participation% this season signifies a significant improvement in his passing game usage over last season's 22.4% rate.. Kareem Hunt's 14.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a substantial gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 6.0 rate.

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in football (68.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs.. At the present time, the 7th-fastest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Chiefs.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game.. The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.0 targets.. In regards to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 98th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a massive 6.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).. Saquon Barkley's 85.7% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies an impressive improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 72.6% figure.

Right now, the most run-focused team in the NFL (46.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.. The Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.4 plays per game.. Jalen Hurts has averaged 8.3 carries per game this year, one of the highest rates in football among quarterbacks (98th percentile).. Accounting for 25.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (96th percentile among QBs), Jalen Hurts's mobility marks him as a significant weapon on the ground.. Jalen Hurts's 43.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a significant improvement in his running talent over last year's 34.0 figure.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 35.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.. In this game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by the model to earn the fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 3.7. . With an awful rate of 1.19 yards-after-contact (22nd percentile), Patrick Mahomes has been as one of the worst rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.. Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 102.0 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.