New York @ Arizona props

The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At a mere 28.51 seconds per snap, the New York Jets offense checks in as the 10th-quickest paced in the league (context-neutralized) this year. The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Garrett Wilson's receiving performance has gotten a boost this season, totaling 6.8 adjusted catches compared to just 5.6 last season. The Cardinals pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (69.2%).

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. The Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may fall-off. Trey McBride has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (89.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (62.7%). In this game, Trey McBride is anticipated by the model to finish in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.9 targets. The Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board. Trey McBride comes in as one of the best TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 5.6 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 96th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At a mere 28.51 seconds per snap, the New York Jets offense checks in as the 10th-quickest paced in the league (context-neutralized) this year. The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Tyler Conklin's 82.3% Route% this season illustrates a significant progression in his pass game workload over last season's 67.7% figure. Tyler Conklin is positioned as one of the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 3.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. With regard to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.37 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Cardinals as the 3rd-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment. Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 31.1 per game) this year. James Conner's 82.5% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 86.0% figure. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's collection of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. At a mere 28.51 seconds per snap, the New York Jets offense checks in as the 10th-quickest paced in the league (context-neutralized) this year. The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Breece Hall has been more involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (63.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (47.8%). The Cardinals pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (91.9%) to running backs this year (91.9%).

Jeremy Ruckert has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Michael Wilson has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Braelon Allen has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Davante Adams has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Greg Dortch has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.