Acrisure Stadium
Xavier Worthy has gone under 4.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 59.1 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down. The projections expect George Pickens to accumulate 8.8 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs. This year, the shaky Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has yielded a monstrous 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-biggest rate in the league.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.9% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 134.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a monstrous 61.6 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. The predictive model expects Travis Kelce to accrue 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.9% of their downs: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 134.2 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a monstrous 61.6 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower rush volume. With an impressive 8.7% Target Rate (75th percentile) this year, Isiah Pacheco has been among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 59.1 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down. In this game, Jaylen Warren is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 90th percentile among running backs with 4.2 targets. Jaylen Warren rates in the 84th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 15.8 figure this year.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 59.1 plays per game. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down. With an excellent 3.4 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth places among the top pass-game tight ends in the league. This year, the shaky Chiefs pass defense has been torched for a colossal 79.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-highest rate in the NFL.
Hollywood Brown has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 5 games.
Noah Gray has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Van Jefferson has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Najee Harris has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Mike Williams has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
DeAndre Hopkins has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Kareem Hunt has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Calvin Austin has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
