Dallas @ Miami props

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate. The model projects Tyreek Hill to accumulate 10.9 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With an elite 31.0% Target Rate (98th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league. With a terrific 7.4 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) this year, Tyreek Hill stands among the best WRs in the game in the NFL. Tyreek Hill's 75.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material improvement in his receiving talent over last season's 70.8% mark.

The Dolphins safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate. The model projects Devon Achane to earn 4.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs. Devon Achane has been in the 89th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 18.4 mark this year. Devon Achane comes in as one of the best pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an excellent 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

The Dolphins safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Jake Ferguson's 73.7% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a significant regression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 84.5% rate. The Dolphins safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate. Durham Smythe has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (71.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (27.1%). Durham Smythe's 2.4 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a meaningful boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 1.2 rate. Durham Smythe profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends, catching an excellent 81.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Raheem Mostert has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Tolbert has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jaylen Waddle has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Michael Gallup has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Rico Dowdle has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Brandin Cooks has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.