Indianapolis @ Atlanta props

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 138.7 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Bijan Robinson has run a route on 67.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs. In this contest, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the model to land in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.4 targets. The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a colossal 60.3 per game on average). The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. Josh Downs is positioned as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 4.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 138.7 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Kyle Pitts is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.4 targets. The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board. With an outstanding 3.3 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) this year, Kyle Pitts rates as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 138.7 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This week, Drake London is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 83rd percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets. The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board. Drake London checks in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an excellent 4.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a colossal 60.3 per game on average). The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. In this week's contest, Jonathan Taylor is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 79th percentile among running backs with 4.1 targets.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics. The 10th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a colossal 60.3 per game on average). The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Colts grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

Jonnu Smith has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

KhaDarel Hodge has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Van Jefferson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Allgeier has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Alec Pierce has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.