New York 3rd NFC East6-11
New Orleans 2nd NFC South9-8
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New York @ New Orleans props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alvin Kamara Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

A. Kamara
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have 133.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 62.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Alvin Kamara's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, compiling 6.3 adjusted receptions vs just 3.8 last season. This year, the deficient Giants pass defense has conceded a monstrous 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL.

Alvin Kamara

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.9

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have 133.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 62.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Alvin Kamara's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, compiling 6.3 adjusted receptions vs just 3.8 last season. This year, the deficient Giants pass defense has conceded a monstrous 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL.

Rashid Shaheed Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

R. Shaheed
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-166
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.5
Best Odds
Over
-166
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have 133.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 62.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Rashid Shaheed to garner 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts. This year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a colossal 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 9th-highest rate in football.

Rashid Shaheed

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.5

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have 133.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 62.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The leading projections forecast Rashid Shaheed to garner 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts. This year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a colossal 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 9th-highest rate in football.

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

W. Robinson
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Giants
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-103

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect the Giants to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Wan'Dale Robinson to accrue 6.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs. Wan'Dale Robinson's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable growth in his receiving skills over last year's 77.9% rate.

Wan'Dale Robinson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect the Giants to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Wan'Dale Robinson to accrue 6.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs. Wan'Dale Robinson's 81.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable growth in his receiving skills over last year's 77.9% rate.

Darren Waller Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

D. Waller
tight end TE • N.Y. Giants
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect the Giants to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to earn 5.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among TEs.

Darren Waller

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect the Giants to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to earn 5.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among TEs.

Saquon Barkley Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

S. Barkley
running back RB • N.Y. Giants
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.7
Best Odds
Over
+123

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect the Giants to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 94th percentile among running backs with 5.6 targets. With an excellent 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the best pass-catching RBs in football.

Saquon Barkley

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.7
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.7

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. The projections expect the Giants to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 94th percentile among running backs with 5.6 targets. With an excellent 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (92nd percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the best pass-catching RBs in football.

Darius Slayton Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

D. Slayton
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Giants
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+144
Under
-150

Darius Slayton has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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