Jacksonville @ Houston props

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projections to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Calvin Ridley has run a route on 91.5% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week. The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL. Dalton Schultz is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projections to call 66.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average). Evan Engram's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, totaling 5.9 adjusted catches compared to a mere 4.3 last season. The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (78.1%) vs. tight ends this year (78.1%).

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week. The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL. With an excellent 4.6 adjusted catches per game (82nd percentile) this year, Nathaniel Dell has been as one of the top WRs in the league in the NFL.

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projections to call 66.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week. The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a massive 59.9 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. With an impressive 5.2 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, Christian Kirk places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

Travis Etienne Jr. has gone under 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 132.2 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week. The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL. When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Houston Texans grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.

Zay Jones has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 9 games.

Robert Woods has gone over 3.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.