Dallas @ San Francisco props

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play. Opposing teams have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: most in football. Tony Pollard's receiving performance has been refined this season, totaling 3.8 adjusted receptions vs a mere 2.4 last season.

Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 75.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to garner 6.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs. Christian McCaffrey's receiving skills have been refined this year, totaling 4.5 adjusted receptions compared to just 3.1 last year. Christian McCaffrey's 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a an impressive gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 85.1% mark. Since the start of last season, the shaky Cowboys pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 82.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 9th-highest rate in football.

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play. Opposing teams have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: most in football. The leading projections forecast Jake Ferguson to total 5.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.

George Kittle has run a route on 83.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs. In this game, George Kittle is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.3 targets. With a fantastic 3.5 adjusted receptions per game (80th percentile) this year, George Kittle ranks among the best pass-game TEs in football.

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script. The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers offense as the worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap. Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) usually correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and increased rush volume. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.5 per game) this year.

Brandon Aiyuk has run a route on 93.7% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts. In this contest, Brandon Aiyuk is predicted by the projections to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets. Brandon Aiyuk has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 4.7 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 84th percentile. Brandon Aiyuk's 86.0% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a a noteable growth in his receiving talent over last season's 68.9% rate.

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized). The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script. The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play. Opposing teams have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: most in football. With an excellent 5.7 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

Jauan Jennings has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Michael Gallup has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Brandin Cooks has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.