New Orleans @ New England props

The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 134.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 64.8 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 8th-most in football. Kendrick Bourne has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this season (18.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (9.8%). Kendrick Bourne's receiving talent has been refined this year, averaging 4.2 adjusted receptions vs a mere 2.2 last year.

The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Saints to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL. In this week's game, Chris Olave is predicted by the predictive model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets. Chris Olave has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 5.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 87th percentile.

The Saints have been the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.4% pass rate. The leading projections forecast the Saints to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL. This week, Alvin Kamara is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.3 targets. Alvin Kamara has been among the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 4.3 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 98th percentile.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 134.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 64.8 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 8th-most in football. The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 4.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs. Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an impressive 3.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 134.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The New England Patriots have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 64.8 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 8th-most in football. In this week's game, Hunter Henry is expected by the model to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.3 targets. Hunter Henry's 4.3 adjusted receptions per game this year shows a a significant boost in his receiving proficiency over last year's 2.6 figure.

JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

DeVante Parker has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ezekiel Elliott has gone over 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Demario Douglas has gone over 1.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Michael Thomas has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rashid Shaheed has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Mike Gesicki has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Foster Moreau has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.