Tampa Bay @ Minnesota props

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.7 plays per game. T.J. Hockenson has been among the top TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (74.6%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (74.6%).

The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script. The Minnesota Vikings offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board. Alexander Mattison has been among the weakest pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 24th percentile among running backs. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties project as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. The Buccaneers have been the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 67.0% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league. Chris Godwin has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. The Buccaneers have been the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 67.0% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league. Rachaad White has been among the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Minnesota Vikings have called the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.7 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Justin Jefferson has been among the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 7.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. The Buccaneers have been the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 67.0% pass rate. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.8 plays per game. Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

Jordan Addison has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

K.J. Osborn has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Mike Evans has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Trey Palmer has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.