Carolina 4th NFC South2-15
Atlanta 3rd NFC South7-10
FOX

Carolina @ Atlanta props

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bijan Robinson Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

Bijan Robinson
B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Bijan Robinson to garner 4.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board. The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.2
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.2

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Bijan Robinson to garner 4.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs. The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board. The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Drake London Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

Drake London
D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Drake London to notch 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among wideouts. Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 29.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wideouts. Drake London has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Drake London

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Drake London to notch 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among wideouts. Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 29.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 98th percentile among wideouts. Drake London has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Kyle Pitts Receptions Made Props • Atlanta

Kyle Pitts
K. Pitts
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to accumulate 6.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among TEs. The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board. The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Kyle Pitts

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Kyle Pitts to accumulate 6.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among TEs. The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board. The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Hayden Hurst Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Hayden Hurst
H. Hurst
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Hayden Hurst has run a route on 71.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among TEs. Hayden Hurst has been among the leading pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

Hayden Hurst

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.5
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.5

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Hayden Hurst has run a route on 71.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among TEs. Hayden Hurst has been among the leading pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile.

Adam Thielen Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Adam Thielen
A. Thielen
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Adam Thielen has run a route on 90.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile among WRs. THE BLITZ projects Adam Thielen to accrue 6.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Adam Thielen

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Adam Thielen has run a route on 90.9% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile among WRs. THE BLITZ projects Adam Thielen to accrue 6.0 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Miles Sanders Receptions Made Props • Carolina

Miles Sanders
M. Sanders
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Miles Sanders has been on the field for 57.3% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs. The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in football (83.5%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (83.5%).

Miles Sanders

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.2

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context). The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Miles Sanders has been on the field for 57.3% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs. The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in football (83.5%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (83.5%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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