SEC Network
Tennessee @ Mississippi State Picks & Props
TENN vs MSST Picks
NCAAF Picks
Total
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Simply don't trust either defense
MoneyLine
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
The Bulldogs rank fourth in rush success this season, and seven in EPA/rush. The offensive line is providing 3.6 line yards per rush and just one of eight rushing attempts are being stuffed. It’s a big reason why the offense is averaging 5.3 points per quality opportunity.
TD Passes
JA
Joey Aguilar u2.5 TD Passes (-213)
Projection 1.9811 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar u272.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 245.0362 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
BS
Blake Shapen u251.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 233.8489 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
BS
Braylon Staley o48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 61.5385 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AE
Anthony Evans III u66.5 Receiving Yards (-105)
Projection 64.7186 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
BT
Brenen Thompson o69.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 71.8753 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Chris Brazzell II u74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 73.808 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
ST
Star Thomas o50.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 58.6357 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
TENN vs MSST Consensus Picks
TENN vs MSST Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
E. Davis
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.29
Radarious Jackson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
R. Jackson
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Brenen Thompson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
B. Thompson
wide receiver WR • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.54
Johnnie Daniels Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
J. Daniels
running back RB • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Seydou Traore Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
S. Traore
tight end TE • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Mike Matthews Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
M. Matthews
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.36
Ayden Williams Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
A. Williams
wide receiver WR • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
DeSean Bishop Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
D. Bishop
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.09
Peyton Lewis Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
P. Lewis
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.70
Braylon Staley Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
B. Staley
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.55
Blake Shapen Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
B. Shapen
quarterback QB • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.27
Joey Aguilar Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
J. Aguilar
quarterback QB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.27
Chris Brazzell II Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
C. Brazzell II
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.73
Anthony Evans III Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
A. Evans III
wide receiver WR • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.31
Jordan Mosley Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
J. Mosley
wide receiver WR • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.09
Miles Kitselman Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
M. Kitselman
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.20
Star Thomas Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
S. Thomas
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.82
Travis Smith Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Tennessee
T. Smith Jr.
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Davon Booth Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
D. Booth
running back RB • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
Markus Allen Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
M. Allen
wide receiver WR • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Fluff Bothwell Score a First Half Touchdown Props • MS State
F. Bothwell
running back RB • MS State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
TENN vs MSST Trends
Tennessee Trends
Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 12 games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Tennessee has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (-11.95 Units / -2% ROI)
Tennessee has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 away games (-6.50 Units / -59% ROI)
TENN
MSST
Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 4 games (-4.70 Units / -100% ROI)
Tennessee has not hit the 1H Game Total Under in any of their last 3 away games (-3.45 Units / -100% ROI)
Mississippi State Trends
Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
TENN
MSST
Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)
TENN
MSST
Mississippi State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.80 Units / -47% ROI)
Mississippi State has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 7 games at home (-3.50 Units / -45% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (-3.10 Units / -8% ROI)
Mississippi State has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 2 games (-2.47 Units / -100% ROI)
Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 7 games at home (-1.55 Units / -19% ROI)
TENN vs MSST Top User Picks
Tennessee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick9 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 2 | shotsatspot | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 3 | stlguy18 | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 4 | GodOfGambler64 | 9-1-0 | +4250 |
| 5 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-4-0 | +4200 |
| 6 | Bass7672 | 8-2-0 | +4020 |
| 7 | luckyme1 | 7-3-0 | +4020 |
| 8 | CNOTES | 8-0-1 | +4000 |
| 9 | jose980901 | 9-1-0 | +3900 |
| 10 | mikeg1827 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| All Volunteers Money Leaders | |||
MS State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Bulldogs Money Leaders | |||