Alabama @ Auburn Picks & Props
ALA vs AUB Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
This feels like a bit of a trap spot for Alabama, but I'll lay with the Tide at less than a touchdown. Auburn can keep the Iron Bowl close for a while, but their biggest weakness on defense is Bama's biggest strength. The passing game. Ty Simpson and his terrific receiving corps should have success against a Tigers pass defense that ranks 90th in the country in success rate on dropbacks. Alabama also has the motivation of knowing a win secures its spot in the SEC title game.
Total
Jeremy Jones
Betting Analyst
Six of the 10 Alabama games and seven of the 10 Auburn games this season have gone Under the total.
TD Passes
TS
Ty Simpson u1.5 TD Passes (+102)
Projection 1.3879 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
TS
Ty Simpson u272.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 231.3444 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
AD
Ashton Daniels o158.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 186.1975 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
ES
Eric Singleton Jr. o35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 52.0566 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
IH
Isaiah Horton o28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 29.7484 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
DH
Daniel Hill o39.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 51.9241 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
JC
Jeremiah Cobb u72.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 60.9271 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
ALA vs AUB Consensus Picks
ALA vs AUB Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
D. Hill
running back RB • Alabama
Prop
39.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
51.92
Jeremiah Cobb Rushing Yards Props • Auburn
J. Cobb
running back RB • Auburn
Prop
72.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
60.93
Deuce Knight Rushing Yards Props • Auburn
D. Knight
quarterback QB • Auburn
Prop
52.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
89.00
(Season avg.)
ALA vs AUB Trends
Alabama Trends
Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Alabama has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 43% ROI)
Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (-10.35 Units / -50% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Alabama has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (-7.75 Units / -46% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Alabama has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games (-5.00 Units / -53% ROI)
Alabama has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 1 of their last 5 away games (-3.40 Units / -61% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-2.55 Units / -17% ROI)
Over
Under
Auburn Trends
Auburn has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Over
Under
Auburn has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Auburn has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Over
Under
Auburn have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Auburn has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.25 Units / 0% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Auburn has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 11 games (-8.05 Units / -65% ROI)
Over
Under
Auburn has only hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (-5.95 Units / -6% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Auburn has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.15 Units / -38% ROI)
Over
Under
Auburn has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.05 Units / -45% ROI)
Auburn have only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)
ALA
AUB
Auburn has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under