Northwestern @ Illinois Picks & Props
NW vs ILL Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Illinois has gone 5-1 against the spread as a multi-score favorite this season, living up to more expectations than perhaps realized amid a 7-4 outright record. With Northwestern in a ripe letdown moment, newly eligible for a bowl, trusting the Illini to again cover a multi-score spread carries plenty of logic.
Spread
Brad Powers
Betting Analyst
This is the biggest disaparity of the week in my power ratings. I make this closer to a 10-point spread. This is a simple buy-low, sell-high spot where I'm selling Northwestern after back-to-back, down to the wire wins, and buying Illinois low after their upset loss as a touchdown-plus favorite against Wisconsin. Illinois needs it more and they're the fresher team.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
GW
Griffin Wilde o60.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 66.122 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
HE
Hayden Eligon II o33.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 36.7809 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CD
Collin Dixon o32.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 35.7164 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
CV
Ca'Lil Valentine o36.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 47.3181 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
CK
Caleb Komolafe u78.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Projection 69.092 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
NW vs ILL Consensus Picks
NW vs ILL Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
C. Dixon
wide receiver WR • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
Hayden Eligon II Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
H. Eligon II
wide receiver WR • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Griffin Wilde Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
G. Wilde
wide receiver WR • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.62
Dashun Reeder Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
D. Reeder
running back RB • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
Hudson Clement Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
H. Clement
wide receiver WR • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.27
Kaden Feagin Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
K. Feagin
running back RB • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
Tanner Arkin Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
T. Arkin
tight end TE • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.17
Ricky Ahumaraeze Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
R. Ahumaraeze
wide receiver WR • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Aidan Laughery Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
A. Laughery
running back RB • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Preston Stone Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
P. Stone
quarterback QB • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Ca'Lil Valentine Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
C. Valentine
running back RB • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.33
Justin Bowick Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
J. Bowick
wide receiver WR • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.36
Luke Altmyer Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
L. Altmyer
quarterback QB • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
Joseph Himon II Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
J. Himon II
running back RB • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.09
Lawson Albright Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
L. Albright
tight end TE • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Caleb Komolafe Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
C. Komolafe
running back RB • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.00
Hank Beatty Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
H. Beatty
wide receiver WR • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
Hunter Welcing Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
H. Welcing
tight end TE • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
Frank Covey IV Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Northwestern
F. Covey IV
wide receiver WR • Northwestern
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Cole Rusk Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Illinois
C. Rusk
tight end TE • Illinois
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
NW vs ILL Trends
Northwestern Trends
Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 11% ROI)
NW
ILL
Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
NW
ILL
Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 38% ROI)
NW
ILL
Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.06 Units / 32% ROI)
NW
ILL
Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Over
Under
Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Northwestern has only hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.90 Units / -43% ROI)
Northwestern has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.70 Units / -2% ROI)
NW
ILL
Northwestern has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.90 Units / -21% ROI)
Over
Under
Northwestern has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.70 Units / -20% ROI)
Over
Under
Northwestern has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 1 of their last 4 away games (-2.50 Units / -54% ROI)
Over
Under
Illinois Trends
Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Over
Under
Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)
NW
ILL
Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
NW
ILL
Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
NW
ILL
Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Over
Under
Illinois has not hit the 1H Game Total Over in any of their last 7 games at home (-8.05 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
Illinois has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.30 Units / -50% ROI)
Illinois has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.60 Units / -73% ROI)
Over
Under
Illinois has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-4.22 Units / -54% ROI)
Over
Under
NW vs ILL Top User Picks
Northwestern Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | mollydog | 8-1-1 | +6450 |
| 2 | burley | 6-3-1 | +5750 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 7-2-1 | +5250 |
| 4 | unique11 | 8-1-1 | +5150 |
| 5 | Munster67 | 10-0-0 | +4950 |
| 6 | Franciswarns | 9-1-0 | +4800 |
| 7 | sweeton60 | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 8 | seadogs | 6-3-1 | +4700 |
| 9 | rstacey | 8-2-0 | +4400 |
| 10 | POUTANASLAYER | 7-2-1 | +4350 |
| All Wildcats Money Leaders | |||
Illinois Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | deebo7348 | 8-2-0 | +5800 |
| 2 | any007 | 10-0-0 | +5750 |
| 3 | jaw4423 | 8-1-1 | +5300 |
| 4 | Cartrevic | 6-3-1 | +5200 |
| 5 | YAL15M | 8-1-1 | +5150 |
| 6 | anya | 9-0-1 | +4950 |
| 7 | LaQuora28 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 8 | buffalo2007 | 9-1-0 | +4400 |
| 9 | wiseoldowl | 7-2-1 | +4350 |
| 10 | Alan Palmer | 6-3-1 | +4200 |
| All Fighting Illini Money Leaders | |||