Vanderbilt @ Tennessee Picks & Props
VAN vs TENN Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Vanderbilt still has an outside shot at the College Football Playoff, but that requires a win over rival Tennessee. Both teams can score with the best of them, but the Commodores are the more battle-tested team and have done a better job of converting quality drives into points. Vandy should also be able to control the tempo of the game by wearing out a Tennessee defense that ranks 121st in success rate vs. the rush. I like the Commodores to pull off the upset.
TD Passes
JA
Joey Aguilar o1.5 TD Passes (-175)
Projection 2.2411 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar u279.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 262.5313 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MM
Mike Matthews o50.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 55.8901 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Chris Brazzell II u74.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 70.1507 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
BS
Braylon Staley o62.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 66.8095 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JS
Junior Sherrill o51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 54.7848 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
DB
DeSean Bishop o76.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 82.5356 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
VAN vs TENN Consensus Picks
VAN vs TENN Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
D. Pavia
quarterback QB • Vanderbilt
Prop
328.5
Pas and Rus Yards
Season Avg.
305.30
VAN vs TENN Trends
Vanderbilt Trends
Vanderbilt has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.75 Units / 9% ROI)
VAN
TENN
Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
VAN
TENN
Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
VAN
TENN
Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Vanderbilt has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Vanderbilt has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 11 games (-8.30 Units / -66% ROI)
Vanderbilt has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Vanderbilt has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.00 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
Vanderbilt has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-2.55 Units / -17% ROI)
Over
Under
Vanderbilt have only covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.05 Units / -14% ROI)
VAN
TENN
Tennessee Trends
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.05 Units / 59% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
VAN
TENN
Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 0% ROI)
VAN
TENN
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+3.70 Units / 5% ROI)
VAN
TENN
Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 2 of their last 13 games (-10.95 Units / -70% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.35 Units / -43% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee have not covered the Spread in any of their last 4 games at home (-4.40 Units / -100% ROI)
VAN
TENN