Davon Booth Rushing Yards Props • MS State
D. Booth
running back RB • MS State
Mississippi @ Mississippi State Picks & Props
MISS vs MSST Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
MISS -7.5 (-102)
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Lane Kiffin is either super locked in for the Egg Bowl and the CFP on the horizon. Or he's distracted by LSU and the jet they probably offered him. I'm hoping it's the former. Mississippi is one fourth-quarter collapse away from being undefeated and still has a shot at the SEC title game. Mississippi State has been underrated this season, but the Rebels can take advantage of the Bulldogs' biggest weakness by leaning on the running game. That will wear out Mississippi State over the course of the game, allowing Mississippi to cover the spread in this rivalry game.
Spread
MSST +7.5 (-120)
Brad Powers
Betting Analyst
This is a high-variance game. I don't know what the frame of mind is for Ole Miss. I think there's a good chance that the Lane Kiffin leaving news breaks before this game and MS State will continue to take money. On top of all that, this is a pro MS State pick. They have plenty to play for with a potnetial Bowl game on the line and we're getting them on the other side of a key number.
Total
u62.5 (-106)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
The Egg Bowl has cashed the Under in eight consecutive seasons.
MoneyLine
MSST (+260)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
If Lane Kiffin is questioning leaving Mississippi while it still has a genuine and active national title chance, his prolonged dalliances with LSU and Florida may cure that worry. Kiffin's selfishness may well have distracted the Rebels, and even if it hasn't, the home underdog has a chance to knock its biggest rival out of the College Football Playoff. Mississippi State should shorten this game and then capitalize where it matters most, scoring 4.14 points per quality drive, No. 19 in the country. Consistency where it counts most creates value on a home underdog.
Passing Yards
Trinidad Chambliss u272.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 263.2097 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DA
Deuce Alexander o31.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 40.216 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
De'Zhaun Stribling o39.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 47.1399 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Harrison Wallace III o53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 62.0654 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DW
Dae'Quan Wright u37.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 35.1818 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CL
Cayden Lee o40.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 41.7482 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
DB
Davon Booth o44.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 51.2511 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
Kewan Lacy o120.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 130.3763 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
Trinidad Chambliss o49.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 54.0101 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
MISS vs MSST Consensus Picks
MISS vs MSST Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Kewan Lacy Rushing Yards Props • Mississippi
K. Lacy
running back RB • Mississippi
Trinidad Chambliss Rushing Yards Props • Mississippi
T. Chambliss
quarterback QB • Mississippi
Fluff Bothwell Rushing Yards Props • MS State
F. Bothwell
running back RB • MS State
Prop
64.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
caesars
-114
Under
fanduel
-114
MISS vs MSST Trends
Mississippi Trends
Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 7% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.78 Units / 13% ROI)
Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Ole Miss has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (-14.65 Units / -29% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Ole Miss have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.95 Units / -36% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Ole Miss has not hit the 1H Game Total Under in any of their last 3 away games (-3.40 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 4 away games (-2.30 Units / -53% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has not hit the Game Total Under in any of their last 3 away games (-3.30 Units / -100% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 2 away games (-2.15 Units / -100% ROI)
Mississippi State Trends
Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.15 Units / 41% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 48% ROI)
Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 0% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Mississippi State has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.17 Units / -58% ROI)
Mississippi State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 1 of their last 5 games at home (-3.45 Units / -62% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has only hit the Game Total Under in 1 of their last 5 games at home (-3.40 Units / -62% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games (-1.50 Units / -2% ROI)
MISS
MSST
Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.50 Units / -18% ROI)
Over
Under