Florida State @ Clemson Picks & Props
FSU vs CLEM Picks
NCAAF Picks
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
MoneyLine
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
We're 3-0 going against Clemson as a favorite, and this is another spot where the wrong team is favored.
Florida State ranks 23rd in red zone scoring, 17th in offensive line push on run plays, 18th in quality drive rate, and fourth in points per quality drive. That's bad news for a Clemson defense that isn't holding up in the red zone, and is struggling with EPA/run and EPA/pass.
Add in the fact that the Tigers can't consistently run the ball, and can't defend the red zone, and you've got another situation where the underdog should provide us with profit.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
TD Passes
TC
Tommy Castellanos u1.5 TD Passes (-166)
Projection 1.2211 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
TC
Tommy Castellanos u220.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 197.0436 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RP
Randy Pittman Jr. o24.5 Receiving Yards (+105)
Projection 33.7251 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
TM
T.J. Moore u66.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Projection 55.1726 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MD
Micahi Danzy u50.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 44.9741 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AR
Adam Randall o17.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 21.1538 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
FSU vs CLEM Consensus Picks
FSU vs CLEM Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
R. Pittman Jr.
tight end TE • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.56
Olsen Patt-Henry Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
O. Patt-Henry
tight end TE • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Ousmane Kromah Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
O. Kromah
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Gideon Davidson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
G. Davidson
running back RB • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Adam Randall Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
A. Randall
running back RB • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.00
Cole Turner Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
C. Turner
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
T.J. Moore Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
T. Moore
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.31
Squirrel White Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
S. White
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Jaylin Lucas Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
J. Lucas
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Samuel Singleton Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
S. Singleton Jr.
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.36
Tyler Brown Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
T. Brown
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Caziah Holmes Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
C. Holmes
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.20
Josh Sapp Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
J. Sapp
tight end TE • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Cade Klubnik Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
C. Klubnik
quarterback QB • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.58
Micahi Danzy Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
M. Danzy
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.50
Christian Bentancur Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
C. Bentancur
tight end TE • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.23
Antonio Williams Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
A. Williams
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.50
Lawayne McCoy Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
L. McCoy
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.30
Duce Robinson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
D. Robinson
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.50
Gavin Sawchuk Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
G. Sawchuk
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
Tristan Smith Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Clemson
T. Smith
wide receiver WR • Clemson
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
FSU vs CLEM Trends
Florida State Trends
Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.60 Units / 15% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.52 Units / 16% ROI)
Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.09 Units / 1% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida State has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 8 games (-13.05 Units / -55% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-7.00 Units / -77% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State has not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 3 away games (-5.95 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State have not covered the 1H Spread in any of their last 3 away games (-3.60 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Florida State have not covered the Spread in any of their last 3 away games (-3.30 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson Trends
Clemson has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Clemson has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Over
Under
Clemson has not hit the 1H Moneyline in any of their last 4 games at home (-47.75 Units / -97% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson has not hit the 1Q Moneyline in any of their last 4 games at home (-16.45 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 5 games at home (-14.95 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson have not covered the Spread in any of their last 7 games at home (-7.70 Units / -100% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
Clemson have only covered the 1H Spread in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-4.85 Units / -69% ROI)
FSU
CLEM
FSU vs CLEM Top User Picks
Florida State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | picus57 | 10-0-0 | +6300 |
| 2 | burley | 7-3-0 | +5250 |
| 3 | Batch9 | 7-3-0 | +5250 |
| 4 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 5 | CCKILLA | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| 6 | sportsking157 | 6-4-0 | +4700 |
| 7 | any007 | 9-1-0 | +4700 |
| 8 | tadlodz | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 9 | sherriffics | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 10 | goobero | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| All Seminoles Money Leaders | |||
Clemson Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wildcat168 | 8-2-0 | +8800 |
| 2 | jakringle | 6-4-0 | +6200 |
| 3 | COFFEE29 | 6-4-0 | +5900 |
| 4 | gap824 | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 5 | Patzer24 | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| 6 | sportsdool1123 | 8-2-0 | +4700 |
| 7 | OMREBEL02 | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| 8 | MLBFan8848 | 8-2-0 | +4600 |
| 9 | raiderroller | 6-4-0 | +4600 |
| 10 | Jerrybook | 4-6-0 | +4600 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||