J. Michael Sturdivant Receiving Yards Props • Florida
J. Sturdivant
wide receiver WR • Florida
ABC
Florida @ Miami (FL) Picks & Props
FLA vs MIA Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
MIA -7.5 (-108)
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Everyone knew Miami had a talented roster, and if they got a good version of Carson Beck, the Hurricanes would be in that national title conversation. Well, it looks like they're getting the best version of Beck. He's thrown for 812 yards and seven touchdowns while leading the nation in completion percentage. Meanwhile, Florida's offense is struggling, ranking 99th in EPA margin with DJ Lagway throwing more interceptions than touchdowns. Miami just has too many edges in this matchup. I'm laying the points with the Canes.
Spread
MIA -7.5 (-110)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
This is a bet on Miami scoring in the first quarter. That is not a usual early-week approach, but it applies to a team like Florida that is teetering on ambivalence. If the Hurricanes, while at home, notch a first-quarter touchdown, this spread will jump well into double digits. The expectation should be that the Gators crater under ennui. Such a thought process recognizes value in this spread even if a hook past the touchdown.
Receptions
MF
Mark Fletcher Jr. u1.5 Receptions (-110)
Projection 1.2961 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
MT
Malachi Toney u5.5 Receptions (-114)
Projection 5.1308 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
KM
Keelan Marion u2.5 Receptions (-108)
Projection 2.4025 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
JB
Jadan Baugh o1.5 Receptions (-156)
Projection 2.2573 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
EW
Eugene Wilson III u4.5 Receptions (-132)
Projection 4.1523 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
CD
CJ Daniels u3.5 Receptions (-118)
Projection 3.3539 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
VB
Vernell Brown III o3.5 Receptions (-146)
Projection 4.1415 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 2 out of 5
TD Passes
DL
DJ Lagway u1.5 TD Passes (-200)
Projection 1.1645 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Carson Beck u272.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 245.0586 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
DL
DJ Lagway u223.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 212.4939 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
FLA vs MIA Consensus Picks
More Consensus
68% picking Miami (FL)
Total Picks FLA 447, MIA 942
Spread
FLA
MIA
FLA vs MIA Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Jadan Baugh Receiving Yards Props • Florida
J. Baugh
running back RB • Florida
Eugene Wilson III Receiving Yards Props • Florida
E. Wilson III
wide receiver WR • Florida
Vernell Brown III Receiving Yards Props • Florida
V. Brown III
wide receiver WR • Florida
Hayden Hansen Receiving Yards Props • Florida
H. Hansen
tight end TE • Florida
CJ Daniels Receiving Yards Props • Miami (FL)
C. Daniels
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
Mark Fletcher Jr. Receiving Yards Props • Miami (FL)
M. Fletcher Jr.
running back RB • Miami (FL)
Malachi Toney Receiving Yards Props • Miami (FL)
M. Toney
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
Keelan Marion Receiving Yards Props • Miami (FL)
K. Marion
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
FLA vs MIA Trends
Florida Trends
Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+11.60 Units / 5% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Florida have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 12 games (-7.65 Units / -53% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.60 Units / -44% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last 2 games (-2.45 Units / -100% ROI)
Florida has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (-2.00 Units / -14% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Miami (FL) Trends
Miami has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Miami has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 6% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (-12.95 Units / -20% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Miami has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.25 Units / -37% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.05 Units / -34% ROI)
FLA
MIA
Miami has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-4.80 Units / -34% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.00 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
FLA vs MIA Top User Picks
More PicksFlorida Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raw72 | 8-2-0 | +4900 |
| 2 | witt297 | 7-3-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | SudburyDowns | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 4 | JL023 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 5 | LT56MVP | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 6 | vladislav1968 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| 7 | pittsburghphil | 8-2-0 | +3850 |
| 8 | ats1 | 8-2-0 | +3850 |
| 9 | whooped | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 10 | R_MUNDO | 9-1-0 | +3800 |
| All Gators Money Leaders | |||
Miami (FL) Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hotone | 8-0-1 | +4000 |
| 2 | vlkvlk2012 | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 3 | A_LowaEast | 8-1-1 | +3950 |
| 4 | sportsking157 | 8-2-0 | +3850 |
| 5 | Moneyman00 | 7-0-0 | +3500 |
| 6 | QueenofQueens | 8-1-1 | +3450 |
| 7 | Monsmon45 | 8-2-0 | +3400 |
| 8 | sockss109 | 8-2-0 | +3400 |
| 9 | redsox99 | 7-3-0 | +3350 |
| 10 | shogun2164 | 10-0-0 | +3130 |
| All Hurricanes Money Leaders | |||