Connecticut @ Las Vegas picks

Connecticut’s net rating of -20.3 implies the Sun are outscored by 20 points per 100 possessions. Maybe Las Vegas does not cover this spread tonight simply because it is so large, but this should not be a competitive game. Hence the Under. The Sun do not have enough offense — especially now that Marina Mabrey is out for the near future with a knee concern — to turn a blowout into an Over.

For once, the Aces should not need A'ja Wilson. They are 19-point favorites against the Sun for a reason. Mainly, Connecticut is rather bad in its first year after the Alyssa Thomas era. Thus, do not expect Wilson to play a full game. She has reached 34 minutes in each of her two games back from the concussion protocol, but there will be little need for that effort tonight. Furthermore, Wilson has fallen short of 22 points in six of 10 games this season.