LIVE 07:20 1st Oct 13
MIA 0 -4.5 o227.0
ATL 0 4.5 u227.0
SA 2.5 o235.0
IND -2.5 u235.0
WAS 4.0 o220.0
NY -4.0 u220.0
DAL -4.0 o235.5
UTA 4.0 u235.5
Milwaukee 5th East49-38
Indiana 4th East65-39

Milwaukee @ Indiana Picks & Props

MIL vs IND Picks

NBA Picks
Spread
Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL +4.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst

Milwaukee was the second-best team from the perimeter and from inside the restricted area in April. While Indiana was Top-10 against both those zones, its offense has been predicated on inefficient mid-range jumpers, which the Bucks have defended well, ranking 12th in the long mid-range over the last three weeks. I trust this Bucks offense to keep chugging and shake off an outlier performance in Game 1, particularly with Damian Lillard — responsible for a three-point uptick in offensive rating this season — back in the fold.

Points Scored
Giannis Antetokounmpo logo Giannis Antetokounmpo o32.5 Points Scored (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been a consistent piece for the Milwaukee Bucks all season long and although they were blown out in the series opener, The Greek Freak still made his presence felt. He showed out for 36 points in the loss. Antetokounmpo finished the regular season with 30.4 ppg, and he’s cashed the Over in four of his last eight appearances. Giannis always has an enormous workload as the franchise superstar and while Damian Lillard may return tonight from a blood clot, don’t expect him to play heavy minutes off the bat. It’s still going to be Antetokounmpo carrying the Bucks.

Points Scored
Bobby Portis logo Bobby Portis o11.5 Points Scored (-109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Bobby Portis Jr. is a crucial piece off the bench for the Bucks. He averaged 13.9 points and 8.4 rebounds per game during the regular season. Although he struggled in Game 1 with a mere four points off the bench, I’m not expecting another quiet night from him. The big man has cashed the Over in points in three of his last four contests, and he has played well against Indiana outside of the series opener, averaging 15.5 points in two meetings in the season. Portis isn’t always a consistent scorer as he does the dirty work in other areas, but overall, he’s been producing offensively lately. He’ll respond tonight and get into double-digits on the scoresheet as he looks to help the Bucks even up this series before heading back home. 

Points Scored
Andrew Nembhard logo Andrew Nembhard u10.5 Points Scored (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Andrew Nembhard does a little bit of everything for the Pacers, averaging 10 points, 5.0 assists, and 3.3 rebounds, but he’s been struggling to score the rock lately. The Canadian averaged just 8.0 ppg in April in six appearances. While he did score 17 points in Game 1, that was the first time Nembhard played well in a while. He cashed the Under in points in five of his last seven outings before that and scored a combined five points in his final two regular season games.

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MIL vs IND Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

60% picking Milwaukee vs Indiana to go Over

60%
40%

Total PicksMIL 418, IND 274

Total
Over
Under

MIL vs IND Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Taurean Prince
T. Prince
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince places in the 89th percentile for 3-point proficiency away from home with an impressive 41.3% rate this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (most in the NBA).

Taurean Prince

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Among all players in the NBA, Taurean Prince places in the 89th percentile for 3-point proficiency away from home with an impressive 41.3% rate this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0). The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 5.3 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (most in the NBA).

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Kyle Kuzma
K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds

Kyle Kuzma has tallied 28.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Pacers are on their home court (4th-most in the league).

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Kyle Kuzma has tallied 28.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). The matchup vs. Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game this year when the Pacers are on their home court (4th-most in the league).

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

Aaron Nesmith
A. Nesmith
small forward SF • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds

Aaron Nesmith has converted 43.3% of his attempts from downtown while on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 7.0 baskets per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers. Aaron Nesmith has sunk an impressive 90.6% of his free throws this year, quite a bit more than his 81.5 mark last year.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Aaron Nesmith has converted 43.3% of his attempts from downtown while on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 7.0 baskets per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers. Aaron Nesmith has sunk an impressive 90.6% of his free throws this year, quite a bit more than his 81.5 mark last year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Giannis Antetokounmpo
G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds

In comparison to last year's 28.5% clip, Giannis Antetokounmpo's three-point ability has dropped this year to 16.7%. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile). The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5). The 9th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

In comparison to last year's 28.5% clip, Giannis Antetokounmpo's three-point ability has dropped this year to 16.7%. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile). The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (2.5). The 9th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Bucks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Bobby Portis
B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds

Bobby Portis has attempted 12.0 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Bobby Portis has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 15.4% higher than he's converted overall this year while on the road.

Bobby Portis

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Bobby Portis has attempted 12.0 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Bobby Portis has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 15.4% higher than he's converted overall this year while on the road.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Brook Lopez
B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds

Brook Lopez has converted 56.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from home. Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Myles Turner measures in just the 88th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs notching a whopping 14.3 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Brook Lopez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Brook Lopez has converted 56.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 6.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from home. Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 31.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup with Myles Turner measures in just the 88th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs notching a whopping 14.3 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

Tyrese Haliburton
T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds

Tyrese Haliburton has posted 18.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 88th percentile. Tyrese Haliburton has sunk 3.0 treys per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Tyrese Haliburton has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have posted 21.7 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Tyrese Haliburton has posted 18.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 88th percentile. Tyrese Haliburton has sunk 3.0 treys per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Tyrese Haliburton has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have posted 21.7 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T.J. McConnell
T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds

T.J. McConnell has successfully made 51.9% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers. T.J. McConnell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

T.J. McConnell has successfully made 51.9% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers. T.J. McConnell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

Myles Turner
M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds

Myles Turner has sunk 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% higher than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner registers in the 87th percentile for threes sunk, totaling 2.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. The number of points averaged against Brook Lopez has been very high (15.4 per game) when he is playing on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Myles Turner

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Myles Turner has sunk 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.9% higher than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Myles Turner registers in the 87th percentile for threes sunk, totaling 2.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 30.2 minutes per game this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. The number of points averaged against Brook Lopez has been very high (15.4 per game) when he is playing on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Damian Lillard
D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 9.1 per game this year. Damian Lillard has been on the court for 36.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Damian Lillard has made 6.2 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 9.1 per game this year. Damian Lillard has been on the court for 36.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Bucks will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers). Damian Lillard has made 6.2 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Kevin Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Kevin Porter Jr.
K. Porter Jr.
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds

Kevin Porter Jr. has posted 17.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's posted in all games this season. Kevin Porter Jr. has made 40.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road. Kevin Porter Jr. has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0).

Kevin Porter Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Kevin Porter Jr. has posted 17.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's posted in all games this season. Kevin Porter Jr. has made 40.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while playing on the road. Kevin Porter Jr. has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season. In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's fantastic 122.4 points per game places 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Pacers is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (19.0).

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

Pascal Siakam
P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Pascal Siakam slots into the 92nd percentile for shots sunk when playing at home, compiling a colossal 7.7 per game this year. Pascal Siakam has sunk a whopping 1.6 3-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last season. Pascal Siakam has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Out of all players in the league, Pascal Siakam slots into the 92nd percentile for shots sunk when playing at home, compiling a colossal 7.7 per game this year. Pascal Siakam has sunk a whopping 1.6 3-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last season. Pascal Siakam has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 3-pointers per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

Andrew Nembhard
A. Nembhard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds

Out of all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.0 minutes per game this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers. Andrew Nembhard has converted a whopping 1.6 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.8 rate last season.

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Out of all players in the league, Andrew Nembhard slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 29.0 minutes per game this year. In regard to offense, the Pacers's superb 120.4 points per game places 3rd-most in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (43.5%). The 7th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers. Andrew Nembhard has converted a whopping 1.6 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.8 rate last season.

Obi Toppin Points Scored Props • Indiana

Obi Toppin
O. Toppin
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.28
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Obi Toppin has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

Bennedict Mathurin
B. Mathurin
small forward SF • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.88
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bennedict Mathurin has gone over 12.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

Gary Trent Jr.
G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.64
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Gary Trent Jr. has gone over 8.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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