Miami @ San Antonio Picks & Props

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).

Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama comes in at the 97th percentile for shots taken, logging 18.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 32.8 minutes per game while at home this year. The rate of field goals made against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably high (65.0%) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 15 games while at home. The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs). The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game this year when the Spurs are on their home court (6th-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jovic has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Nikola Jovic has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs). Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.5% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Jeremy Sochan has successfully made 45.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 20.6% more than he's made from three overall this season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jeremy Sochan should see a spike in performance for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Harrison Barnes has made 59.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 82nd percentile for three-point prowess with an excellent 38.5% rate this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has attempted 12.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Duncan Robinson has attempted 9.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Duncan Robinson has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.5%).

The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games while at home. The Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Chris Paul has made an impressive 93.9% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 75.1 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 51.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Bam Adebayo has made 46.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Spurs).

Tyler Herro has registered 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 3.5 more than he's registered overall this season on the road. Tyler Herro has attempted 11.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on field goals (highest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a good matchup.

Kel'el Ware has made 60.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.4% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Kel'el Ware has made 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Kel'el Ware has played 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.6 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Heat rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to treys. The number of shots converted against Charles Bassey has been very high (7.2 per game) when he is playing at home and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Julian Champagnie has gone over 5.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Jaime Jaquez has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Tre Jones has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Terry Rozier has gone over 13.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Keldon Johnson has gone over 12.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.