Houston @ Golden State Picks & Props

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 48.6% of his treys over the last 10 games, 15.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, making this a favorable matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

Kevon Looney has sunk 62.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The faceoff with Alperen Sengun ranks in just the 89th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs draining a massive 1.3 three-pointers per game this year when they are at home. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Trayce Jackson-Davis has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (24th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 0.4 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Houston Rockets check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. When playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs, Kevon Looney places in the 4th percentile with just 0.9 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (worst in the league) against the Houston Rockets, branding this as a difficult matchup. Relative to last season's 73.0% mark, Jonathan Kuminga's foul-shot performance has declined this season to 52.6%. As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at drawing fouls while at home: 4th-worst in the NBA this year with just 19.5 foul shot attempts per game.

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have registered 12.6 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive output. As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at drawing fouls while at home: 4th-worst in the NBA this year with just 19.5 foul shot attempts per game. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Amen Thompson has successfully made 66.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 12.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while playing on the road. Amen Thompson has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Fred VanVleet has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 35.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.4%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. Dillon Brooks has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile. The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins comes in at the 82nd percentile, tallying a whopping 17.2 points per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. Andrew Wiggins has played 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Green registers in the 90th percentile for field goal attempts, registering 16.1 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 7.4 threes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Rockets.

The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Houston Rockets). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the league while on their home court with 13.5 offensive boards per game this year. Brandin Podziemski has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 21.7% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Kyle Anderson has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Moses Moody has gone over 8.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.