Boston @ Miami Picks & Props

Caleb Martin has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one for field goals; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.7%). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.6). The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.7 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises player performance for all stats.

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent has sunk 98.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 14.7% more than he's converted overall this season.

Max Strus has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (13th-least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry has successfully made 50.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Kyle Lowry has tallied 29.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Kyle Lowry has converted 88.0% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jayson Tatum has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year. The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.2 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).

Jaylen Brown has converted a terrific 9.9 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.6 mark last season. Jaylen Brown has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White has successfully made 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Derrick White has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 9.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this year away from his home court.

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.7% of his 3-point shots this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has scored 28.8 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's scored over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has successfully made a terrific 53.3% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 47.9 rate last year. Jimmy Butler has averaged 38.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams has made 52.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.9% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Grant Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 16.1% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Robert Williams III has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.