NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 23, 2026

Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC @ Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI Mon, Mar 23 • 7:00 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Isaiah Hartenstein logo
Isaiah Hartenstein o7.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 9.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's impressive 119.3 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the 4th-best in the league this year.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.. The 76ers have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should boost plays for the Thunder.
Points Scored
AB
Adem Bona o5.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 7.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.. The 76ers will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-speediest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
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Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL @ Detroit Pistons logo DET Mon, Mar 23 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Points Scored
Jalen Duren logo
Jalen Duren u22.5 Points Scored (-118)
Projection 18.52 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Pistons have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games.. The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
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Indiana Pacers logo IND @ Orlando Magic logo ORL Mon, Mar 23 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Indiana Pacers logo IND +13.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Pacers are terrible. No one would question that. And the Magic will certainly win, handing Indiana its 17th consecutive loss. But Orlando has only been favored by 11 or more points three times this season, and it's gone 1-2 against the spread in those games. The Magic have also lost four straight and have struggled to put opponents away. Blowouts aren't the name of their game, and while this should be a comfortable victory, the spread is a tad too big

Points Scored
Jevon Carter logo
Jevon Carter u9.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 6.61 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The 9th-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Magic.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
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San Antonio Spurs logo SA @ Miami Heat logo MIA Mon, Mar 23 • 7:00 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
PL
Pelle Larsson u12.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 9.99 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's lackluster 31.2% rate of successful threes rates 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 8.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive performance.
Points Scored
Andrew Wiggins logo
Andrew Wiggins o12.5 Points Scored (-105)
Projection 15.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo away team in the league over the last 20 games (the San Antonio Spurs).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 6th-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.. Over the last 24 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Spurs, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.
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Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM @ Atlanta Hawks logo ATL Mon, Mar 23 • 7:30 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Points Scored
GG Jackson logo
GG Jackson u17.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 13.11 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
As a team, the Memphis Grizzlies have been poor at drawing fouls when playing away from home: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 21.9 foul shot attempts per game.
Points Scored
Ty Jerome logo
Ty Jerome u21.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 17.54 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
As a team, the Memphis Grizzlies have been poor at drawing fouls when playing away from home: 7th-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 21.9 foul shot attempts per game.. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
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Houston Rockets logo HOU @ Chicago Bulls logo CHI Mon, Mar 23 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Total
Houston Rockets logo Chicago Bulls logo u227.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

The Rockets are the second-most methodical team in the Association, and they can dictate pace against the Bulls, who play fast and loose on offense. Houston struggles to cover big spreads, though, so I like that narrative to manifest in another Under, despite the lower total.

Points Scored
Tre Jones logo
Tre Jones u13.5 Points Scored (-106)
Projection 10.74 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chicago Bulls are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
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Toronto Raptors logo TOR @ Utah Jazz logo UTA Mon, Mar 23 • 9:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Ace Bailey logo
Ace Bailey o17.5 Points Scored (-109)
Projection 19.06 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ace Bailey has averaged 22.0 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 7.2 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 23.9 points per game (highest in the league) against the Raptors, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance.. The Utah Jazz have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.. The Utah Jazz have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).. The matchup against Toronto may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are the visiting team (6th-most in the league).
Total Rebounds
Brice Sensabaugh logo
Brice Sensabaugh o3.5 Total Rebounds (+110)
Projection 4.21 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Utah Jazz have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.. The Utah Jazz have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
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Golden State Warriors logo GS @ Dallas Mavericks logo DAL Mon, Mar 23 • 9:30 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Ryan Nembhard logo
Ryan Nembhard o7.5 Points Scored (+102)
Projection 8.76 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 119.4 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 5 games.. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Points Scored
Kristaps Porzingis logo
Kristaps Porzingis o15.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 17.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Golden State Warriors.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
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Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Portland Trail Blazers logo POR Mon, Mar 23 • 10:00 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Nolan Traore logo
Nolan Traore u12.5 Points Scored (-101)
Projection 9.84 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 29.8% on three-pointers (3rd-worst in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, designating this as a hard matchup.. The 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Nets rank 5thworst in in the league as the visting team with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Points Scored
DC
Donovan Clingan u15.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 13.15 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Trail Blazers check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.. The Trail Blazers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
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Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL @ LA Clippers logo LAC Mon, Mar 23 • 10:30 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Myles Turner logo
Myles Turner o9.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 11.04 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.. The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).
Total Rebounds
John Collins logo
John Collins u6.5 Total Rebounds (+100)
Projection 5.82 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Bucks have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Clippers.. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
View 2 Picks

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