NBA Picks

Gilgeous-Alexander has cashed the Over in points in three of his last five. SGA dropped 40 on Tuesday against Orlando, and he’s up against the lowly Washington Wizards tonight, one of the worst teams around. He’s hit the Over in two of his last three road contests, and Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.6 PPG on the road. 

In terms of shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's fantastic 118.9 points per game away from home ranks 4th-strongest in the league this year.. The matchup against Washington is a favorable one for scoring; when the Wizards are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 4th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.2%).. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).. The matchup against the Wizards is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.2 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the league).

Doncic just scored 100 points across his last two games, and he's cashed the Over in three straight. Luka dropped 60 on the Miami Heat a couple of nights ago. 

The Orlando Magic have dropped three straight games after winning seven in a row, and they can earn a much-needed victory tonight. Over the last 10 games, the Lakers and Magic both rank in the top-11 in offensive and defensive efficiency, and despite LA’s recent surge, the Magic can hang with them.

The Lakers will play their fourth road game in six days, and Austin Reaves could sit this one out. LA sports a +3.4 net rating with Reaves, but that falls to -1.5 without him. Look for a rested and motivated Magic team to get the dub.

The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Hornets).. As a team, the Grizzlies have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls as the visting team: 9th-worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 22.0 free throws per game.. The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

As it relates to scoring, the Charlotte Hornets's unimpressive 114.4 points per game at home places 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.

Mobley has hit the Over in points in three of his last four, and he's surpassed 25 points in back-to-back games. The Pelicans are allowing over 22 points per contest to centers. 

The matchup against the Pelicans is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).. The Pelicans have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should boost possessions for the Cavaliers.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 8th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Under has cashed in three straight Heat vs Rockets matchups.

The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).. The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets).. The matchup against Houston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are at home (least in the NBA).

The Spurs have allowed just 105.3 points over their 4-game win streak, with opponents shooting just 42.9% from the field.

The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Johnson is averaging career highs in rebounds (10.5) and assists (8.1), hitting Over 18.5 on that combo in three of his last four games.

Golden State ranks near the bottom of the league in rebounding (22nd) while Atlanta is averaging 91.9 field goal attempts per game (2nd), leaving plenty of boards for Johnson.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Hawks rank 9thworst in in the NBA with only 10.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for scoring; when the Clippers are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (43.3%).. The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the LA Clippers).. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Filipowski has notched 16.2 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.0 more than he's notched overall this season at home.. The Utah Jazz will likely see a spike in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the 76ers).. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 9th-best in in the league on their home court with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.

The Jazz have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the 76ers.. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the 76ers rank 10thworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Over his last 10 games, Devin Booker has averaged 30.3 points. In that span, he scored 28+ six times and finished with 27 twice more. He provided 27 points against the Milwaukee Bucks on March 10.

Milwaukee’s defense has been dreadful over the last 10 games, surrendering the fifth-most points (120.5), most three-pointers )16.9) and third-highest three-point percentage (39%), while sporting the 29th-ranked defensive rating (123.3). Booker should be motivated to get his team back on track after four straight losses, and I expect him to take advantage of this highly-favorable matchup at home.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.. The 6th-quickest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.