Los Angeles
6th West34-24
Denver
4th West37-22
Los Angeles @ Denver Picks & Props
LAL vs DEN Picks
NBA Picks
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst
LeBron James has blown through his combo prop market in the last nine contests, going Over his Rebounds + Assist total in seven of those games. Books have kept that combo number between 12.5 and 14.5 O/U despite LeBron combining for 15 or more of those stats in all seven of those Over results. James’ projections for tonight range from 12.4 rebounds + assists to 14.7 combined stats. My number hovers around 14 boards + dimes from “King James”, which should have his Over 12.5 for this combo prop asking -145. Mix in some extra motivation from the ASG snub and I like LeBron to keep filling the stat sheet.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Lakers).. The Denver Nuggets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).. The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Lakers).. The Denver Nuggets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 119.2 points per game measures as the 9th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The matchup vs. Denver is a favorable one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).. The matchup against Denver may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (2nd-most in the league).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year (the Lakers).. The Denver Nuggets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
LAL vs DEN Consensus Picks
62% picking L.A. Lakers vs Denver to go Over
Total PicksLAL 267, DEN 167
Total
Over
Under
LAL vs DEN Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
Peyton Watson
(SF)
u18.5 Points Scored
15.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.5
DIFFERENCE
27.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u27.5 Points Scored
25.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
20.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
19.85%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o3.5 Points Scored
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
15.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
9.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o13.5 Points Scored
14.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Luka Doncic
(PG)
u31.5 Points Scored
31.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
u14.5 Points Scored
14.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
o17.5 Points Scored
17.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
LeBron James
(SF)
o22.5 Points Scored
22.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
21.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
u6.5 Total Rebounds
6.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
11.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
u2.5 Total Rebounds
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
7.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
LeBron James
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Luka Doncic
(PG)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-3.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-10.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Peyton Watson
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
u0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Luka Doncic
(PG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
LeBron James
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u8.5 Total Assists
7.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
22.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
LeBron James
(SF)
o6.5 Total Assists
7.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
5.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
1.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o0.5 Total Assists
1.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Luka Doncic
(PG)
u8.5 Total Assists
8.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.51%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
POINTS SCORED
Peyton Watson
(SF)
u18.5 Points Scored
15.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.5
DIFFERENCE
27.14%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u27.5 Points Scored
25.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.2
DIFFERENCE
20.66%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
19.85%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o3.5 Points Scored
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
15.2%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o8.5 Points Scored
9.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.78%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.96%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o13.5 Points Scored
14.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.44%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Luka Doncic
(PG)
u31.5 Points Scored
31.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.82%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
u14.5 Points Scored
14.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.8%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
o17.5 Points Scored
17.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.29%
EV
POINTS SCORED
LeBron James
(SF)
o22.5 Points Scored
22.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.21%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
21.67%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
u6.5 Total Rebounds
6.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
11.56%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.41%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
u2.5 Total Rebounds
2.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.87%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
7.83%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
LeBron James
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.95%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.12%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Luka Doncic
(PG)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-3.27%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.54%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-6.56%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-10.99%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Peyton Watson
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.72%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
10.79%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
4.4%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.64%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
u0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.71%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Luka Doncic
(PG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
1.67%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
LeBron James
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.03%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
o2.5 3-Pointers Made
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.04%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.94%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jamal Murray
(PG)
u8.5 Total Assists
7.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
22.03%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Aaron Gordon
(PF)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Tim Hardaway Jr.
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.06%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
LeBron James
(SF)
o6.5 Total Assists
7.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
5.84%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.13%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Marcus Smart
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
1.09%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Peyton Watson
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.33%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jarred Vanderbilt
(PF)
o0.5 Total Assists
1.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.33%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Luka Doncic
(PG)
u8.5 Total Assists
8.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.4%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.65%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jalen Pickett
(SG)
u4.5 Total Assists
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.51%
EV
LAL vs DEN Trends
Over
Under
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DEN
LAL
DEN
LAL
DEN
LAL
DEN
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DEN
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DEN
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Under
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Under
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LAL vs DEN Top User Picks
L.A. Lakers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | mrplus96 | 7-3-0 | +12950 |
| 2 | greengrocer | 8-2-0 | +11700 |
| 3 | HOTTIE | 7-3-0 | +11000 |
| 4 | Bamafan2020 | 6-4-0 | +9350 |
| 5 | trsman | 7-3-0 | +9350 |
| 6 | shogun2164 | 5-5-0 | +9220 |
| 7 | kaitospapa | 5-5-0 | +8750 |
| 8 | mikeg1827 | 4-6-0 | +8750 |
| 9 | vupham | 7-3-0 | +8400 |
| 10 | witt297 | 5-5-0 | +8300 |
| All Lakers Money Leaders | |||
Denver Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abbyllar | 8-2-0 | +13000 |
| 2 | ldcpicks | 5-5-0 | +12700 |
| 3 | aerison12 | 4-6-0 | +12550 |
| 4 | sniperpick | 5-5-0 | +11100 |
| 5 | Varart | 7-3-0 | +10950 |
| 6 | Badger66 | 6-4-0 | +10250 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 5-5-0 | +10010 |
| 8 | ASkinsFanInDixi | 4-6-0 | +9550 |
| 9 | vladislav1968 | 7-3-0 | +9400 |
| 10 | lisovik | 9-1-0 | +9400 |
| All Nuggets Money Leaders | |||