Isaiah Hartenstein o10.5 Points Scored (-120)
Isaiah Hartenstein’s points prop is set at 10.5 (-120) for the Over at Bet99, and there’s a clear edge at that number, as I project it closer to -160. Hartenstein should be a major problem for the Warriors around the rim, especially given their reliance on small lineups and Draymond Green at center. Green is likely to take the Holmgren assignment, which leaves the Warriors with limited options to defend Hartenstein inside. It’s simply a difficult matchup for Golden State’s frontcourt, and the pricing on Hartenstein’s points prop reflects an opportunity we can capitalize on.
Chet Holmgren o1.5 Total Assists (+145)
Chet Holmgren’s assists prop is trading at +145 for the Over 1.5, and that is a number we should be attacking, as I project it closer to -125. The Thunder have increasingly used Holmgren at the nail with Isaiah Hartenstein occupying the dunker spot, and I expect that tandem to be featured on Tuesday against the undersized Warriors. That action puts significant pressure on Golden State’s defense, because they cannot simply concede Holmgren’s midrange jumper by staying home, nor can they ignore Hartenstein at the rim. The combination should create clean assist opportunities for Holmgren.
OKC -7.5 (-110)
The Thunder look like the best team in the league again, as a two-point loss at Portland is the only blemish on their record. Despite missing Luguentz Dort and Aaron Wiggins, they’ll still have defending MVP and scoring champion Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, as well as big man Chet Holmgren. The Thunder have just too many weapons for Steph Curry & Co. to counter. Look for OKC to cover.
Stephen Curry o23.5 Points Scored (-113)
Curry has reached the Over on this mark in three of four road games, and he’ll need to be at his best against an electric Thunder offense. For as good as OKC’s defense has been this season, the Thunder have allowed the fourth-most three-pointers per game, which is advantageous for the NBA’s all-time leader in that department.
64% picking Oklahoma City
Total Picks GS 276, OKC 499
Total PicksGS 439, OKC 128
The Warriors have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 11 games.
The Warriors have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 11 games. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).
With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 122.1 points per game places 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 11 games (the Warriors).
With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 122.1 points per game places 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 11 games (the Warriors). This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 122.1 points per game places 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 11 games (the Warriors).
The Warriors have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (44.1%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 11 games.
The Warriors have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 11 games.
With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 122.1 points per game places 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 11 games (the Warriors).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league while on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 11 games. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.
The Warriors have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 11 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.
With respect to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 122.1 points per game places 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, making this a strong matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 11 games (the Warriors). This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
Moses Moody has gone over 8.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Al Horford has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Isaiah Joe has gone over 11.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
Buddy Hield has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Will Richard has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Jaylin Williams has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Golden State TrendsOklahoma City Trends| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Warriors Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | lewnyjune | 8-2-0 | +8100 |
| 2 | RPJSTEELER | 9-1-0 | +7500 |
| 3 | Runupmoney97 | 4-6-0 | +7050 |
| 4 | Sam47 | 8-2-0 | +6550 |
| 5 | jaw4423 | 7-3-0 | +6450 |
| 6 | broncos922 | 2-8-0 | +6350 |
| 7 | cashbb1030 | 6-4-0 | +5800 |
| 8 | buffalo2007 | 4-6-0 | +5650 |
| 9 | unbelievable21 | 7-3-0 | +5600 |
| 10 | Cheezer69 | 8-2-0 | +5500 |
| All Thunder Money Leaders | |||
