Final Nov 20
LAC 101 6.5 o219.0
ORL 129 -6.5 u219.0
Final Nov 20
ATL 126 1.0 o234.5
SA 135 -1.0 u234.5
Final OT Nov 20
PHI 123 -1.5 o223.0
MIL 114 1.5 u223.0
Final Nov 20
SAC 96 3.0 o234.5
MEM 137 -3.0 u234.5
Houston 3rd West10-3
Oklahoma City 1st West15-1

Houston @ Oklahoma City Picks & Props

HOU vs OKC Picks

NBA Picks
Total Steals
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o1.5 Total Steals (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Reigning NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander isn't just a scoring machine, he's also a tenacious defender who forces turnovers. He was fifth in the NBA with 1.7 steals per game last season and led the league with 2.0 spg in 2024. The Rockets could have issues with ball-security at the start of the season after losing PG Fred VanVleet to a season-ending injury. Kevin Durant needs to build chemistry with new teammates while other ball-handlers like Reed Sheppard and Amen Thompson are inexperienced. 

Points Scored
Steven Adams logo Steven Adams u5.5 Points Scored (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Houston plans to start a massive lineup with Steven Adams alongside Alperen Sengun and Jabari Smith in the frontcourt. That lineup will struggle with spacing and will have a tough time defending the perimeter. Books are over-estimating the offensive impact that Adams will have. Especially since that starting lineup will quickly be exposed, leading to rotations featuring Reed Sheppard and Tari Eason instead of Adams. Adams averaged just 3.9 ppg last year with that number boosted in games in which Smith was sidelined. He won't get many good looks on the interior against Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein. 

Points Scored
Kevin Durant logo Kevin Durant o23.5 Points Scored (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Durant is 37-years-old but he's still an elite scorer that averaged 26.6 ppg on 53/43/84 shooting splits last season. And that was while playing alongside Devin Booker who also demanded plenty of shots. Now he's the unquestioned No. 1 scoring option for a Rockets squad that will rely on him to carry the scoring load. The Thunder have an elite defense but they also play at a breakneck pace which should lead to extra possessions for Houston. In addition, Jalen Williams is out with a wrist injury and Durant will have a massive size advantage against OKC's other wing defenders.

Points Scored
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo Shai Gilgeous-Alexander u31.5 Points Scored (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a relatively slow starter in his career, hitting Under 31.5 points in six of seven season openers. The Rocket also boast an elite defense that will be locked in on SGA, ranking fifth in defensive rating and sixth in points against per game last season.

Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC -7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Oklahoma City Thunder open the season as 7.5-point favorites, and I’m laying the points with the champs. I think this line should be closer to Thunder -9.5. The Rockets made a splash in the offseason by acquiring Kevin Durant, but losing Fred VanVleet for the year is a major setback. Without a true backup point guard, Houston will have to get creative in how they initiate their offense — not exactly ideal against one of the league’s most disruptive defenses. Facing the Thunder’s pressure on Opening Night is a tough spot for a team still figuring things out.

Total Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander u6.5 Total Assists (-105)
Projection 5.76 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game since the start of last season.
Total Assists
Alperen Sengun logo
Alperen Sengun u5.5 Total Assists (-110)
Projection 4.77 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.8 fouls per game since the start of last season.. Alperen Sengun figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.
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HOU vs OKC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

64% picking Houston vs Oklahoma City to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksHOU 438, OKC 243

Total
Over
Under

HOU vs OKC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Reed Sheppard Points Scored Props • Houston

Reed Sheppard
R. Sheppard
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.73
Best Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Reed Sheppard logo

Reed Sheppard

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.73
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.73

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.85
Best Odds

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has gone under 32.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

Alperen Sengun
A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.67
Best Odds

Alperen Sengun has converted 7.5 buckets per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Alperen Sengun has tallied 32.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the NBA).

Alperen Sengun logo

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.67
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.67

Alperen Sengun has converted 7.5 buckets per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Alperen Sengun has tallied 32.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the NBA).

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Aaron Wiggins
A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.57
Best Odds

As it relates to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 118.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season. The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Thunder. Aaron Wiggins will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player production for all stats.

Aaron Wiggins logo

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.57
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.57

As it relates to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 118.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season. The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Thunder. Aaron Wiggins will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player production for all stats.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

Jabari Smith Jr.
J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.66
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.0 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls.

Jabari Smith Jr. logo

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.66
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.66

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.0 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

Amen Thompson
A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.34
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson lands in the 88th percentile for field goal performance with a great 54.6% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.3 minutes per game since the start of last season. This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a good matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson logo

Amen Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.34
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.34

Among all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson lands in the 88th percentile for field goal performance with a great 54.6% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.3 minutes per game since the start of last season. This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a good matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Cason Wallace
C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.94
Best Odds

As it relates to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 118.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season. The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Thunder. Cason Wallace will likely see a rise in efficiency for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Cason Wallace logo

Cason Wallace

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.94
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.94

As it relates to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 118.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season. The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Thunder. Cason Wallace will likely see a rise in efficiency for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Luguentz Dort
L. Dort
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.01
Best Odds

Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 29.2 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 118.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Houston is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Thunder.

Luguentz Dort logo

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.01
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.01

Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 29.2 minutes per game since the start of last season. As it relates to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's terrific 118.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Houston is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Thunder.

Steven Adams Points Scored Props • Houston

Steven Adams
S. Adams
center C • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.88
Best Odds

Steven Adams has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile). When guarding fellow starting Cs, Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in the 86th percentile with a monstrous 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against him per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The showdown with Isaiah Hartenstein in terms of getting to the free-throw line slots into only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season.

Steven Adams logo

Steven Adams

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.88
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.88

Steven Adams has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (18th percentile). When guarding fellow starting Cs, Isaiah Hartenstein ranks in the 86th percentile with a monstrous 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against him per game since the start of last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The showdown with Isaiah Hartenstein in terms of getting to the free-throw line slots into only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game since the start of last season.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

Tari Eason
T. Eason
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.89
Best Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tari Eason logo

Tari Eason

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.89
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.89

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets. The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Hartenstein
I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.27
Best Odds

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA. Isaiah Hartenstein has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile). The number of points scored against Steven Adams has been very low (11.1 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs since the start of last season (7th percentile). The matchup with Steven Adams as it relates to getting to the free-throw line comes in at the 4th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.1 free throws per game since the start of last season.

Isaiah Hartenstein logo

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.27
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.27

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile among all players in the NBA. Isaiah Hartenstein has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile). The number of points scored against Steven Adams has been very low (11.1 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs since the start of last season (7th percentile). The matchup with Steven Adams as it relates to getting to the free-throw line comes in at the 4th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.1 free throws per game since the start of last season.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Chet Holmgren
C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.17
Best Odds

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a difficult matchup.

Chet Holmgren logo

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.17

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a difficult matchup.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Houston

Kevin Durant
K. Durant
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.66
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for shots sunk, registering a massive 9.6 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant places in the 99th percentile for three-point ability with a stellar 46.6% rate since the start of last season. Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a good matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets.

Kevin Durant logo

Kevin Durant

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.66
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.66

Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant slots into the 99th percentile for shots sunk, registering a massive 9.6 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Kevin Durant places in the 99th percentile for three-point ability with a stellar 46.6% rate since the start of last season. Kevin Durant has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, resulting in a good matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Rockets.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jalen Williams
J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
0.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jalen Williams has not yet played a game this season.

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Alex Caruso
A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.45
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Alex Caruso has gone over 8.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Joe
I. Joe
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Isaiah Joe has gone over 6.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Ajay Mitchell Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Ajay Mitchell
A. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.13
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Ajay Mitchell has gone over 7.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Jaylin Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jaylin Williams
J. Williams
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.80
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jaylin Williams has gone over 4.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

HOU vs OKC Top User Picks

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Houston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 mjpalli 9-1-0 +7250
2 Sandsaver727 9-1-0 +6700
3 Ollywood 9-1-0 +6250
4 pervertido2704 9-1-0 +5950
5 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +5750
6 thegame_66088 8-2-0 +5700
7 Kozman06 8-2-0 +5700
8 bestfriendbb 8-2-0 +5700
9 Bamafan2020 8-2-0 +5700
10 fishter923 8-2-0 +5650
All Rockets Money Leaders

Oklahoma City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 broncos922 6-3-1 +8300
2 bluorch158 7-3-0 +5050
3 cashbb1030 7-2-1 +5050
4 sleeper2239 6-4-0 +5000
5 Dippopotamus 8-2-0 +4900
6 PurpleFrog 8-2-0 +4750
7 nobrainer 7-3-0 +4650
8 bjs129 7-2-1 +4500
9 unique11 6-3-1 +4500
10 london79 6-4-0 +4450
All Thunder Money Leaders
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