IND 7.5 o215.0
OKC -7.5 u215.0
Golden State 7th West53-41
Minnesota 6th West58-39

Golden State @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

Buddy Hield
B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds

Buddy Hield has made 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this season. The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Buddy Hield has failed to make 0.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 20th percentile for misses .

Buddy Hield

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Buddy Hield has made 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this season. The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Buddy Hield has failed to make 0.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 20th percentile for misses .

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Mike Conley
M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have notched 24.4 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a good matchup for offensive performance. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 7.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting squad (most in the league). Mike Conley figures to see a spike in productivity for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Mike Conley

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have notched 24.4 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, branding this as a good matchup for offensive performance. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.0% higher than he's converted in all games this season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 7.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting squad (most in the league). Mike Conley figures to see a spike in productivity for all stats due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Jimmy Butler III Points Scored Props • Golden State

Jimmy Butler III
J. Butler III
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have notched 14.5 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home (9th-least in the league).

Jimmy Butler III

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have notched 14.5 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup for offensive productivity. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home (9th-least in the league).

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Donte DiVincenzo
D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds

Donte DiVincenzo has successfully made 2.7 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Donte DiVincenzo has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's sunk overall this season on his home court. Donte DiVincenzo should see a rise in productivity in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Donte DiVincenzo

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Donte DiVincenzo has successfully made 2.7 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Donte DiVincenzo has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's sunk overall this season on his home court. Donte DiVincenzo should see a rise in productivity in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

Draymond Green
D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. The number of three-pointers attempted against Rudy Gobert has been quite high (2.3 per game) when playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has made 81.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing away from home.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. The number of three-pointers attempted against Rudy Gobert has been quite high (2.3 per game) when playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has made 81.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing away from home.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Rudy Gobert
R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 6.3 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The clash with Draymond Green in regard to getting to the charity stripe measures in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a whopping 2.9 free throws per game this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 6.3 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Rudy Gobert has attempted 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The clash with Draymond Green in regard to getting to the charity stripe measures in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a whopping 2.9 free throws per game this year.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

Stephen Curry
S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has converted 5.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Stephen Curry has attempted 11.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has converted 5.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Jaden McDaniels
J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made in all games this year. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made in all games this year. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Gary Payton II Points Scored Props • Golden State

Gary Payton II
G. Payton II
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Minnesota is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.3). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Gary Payton II will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

Gary Payton II

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.3

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Minnesota is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.3). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Gary Payton II will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production in all stat categories.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Anthony Edwards
A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.3
Best Odds

Anthony Edwards has made 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season with the home court advantage. Anthony Edwards has sunk a whopping 4.0 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.6 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Anthony Edwards has attempted 6.3 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.3

Anthony Edwards has made 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season with the home court advantage. Anthony Edwards has sunk a whopping 4.0 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.6 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Anthony Edwards has attempted 6.3 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

Brandin Podziemski
B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season when playing away from home. Brandin Podziemski has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season when playing away from home. Brandin Podziemski has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Julius Randle
J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds

Julius Randle has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Timberwolves.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Julius Randle has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Timberwolves.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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