Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Dallas @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Davis Points Scored Props • Dallas

A. Davis
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

Anthony Davis has attempted and missed 2.8 attempts from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the season without the home court advantage. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA). Anthony Davis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

Anthony Davis

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Anthony Davis has attempted and missed 2.8 attempts from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the season without the home court advantage. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA). Anthony Davis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-130

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 69.2% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 83rd percentile for drawing fouls, averaging an enormous 3.1 free throw attempts per game on the road this year. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.0 foul shots per game (75th percentile).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 69.2% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 83rd percentile for drawing fouls, averaging an enormous 3.1 free throw attempts per game on the road this year. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.0 foul shots per game (75th percentile).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.7 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.7 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year while on his home court. Keon Ellis has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Keon Ellis has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year while on his home court. Keon Ellis has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 11.4 shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied 33.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Spencer Dinwiddie has attempted 11.4 shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied 33.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. Spencer Dinwiddie has made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

DeMar DeRozan has failed to make 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's missed from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

DeMar DeRozan has failed to make 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's missed from 3-point range in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the NBA).

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has sunk 51.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's converted in all games this year. Trey Lyles has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.7 more than he's played in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Trey Lyles has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Trey Lyles has sunk 51.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's converted in all games this year. Trey Lyles has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.7 more than he's played in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings. Trey Lyles has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-118

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 61.3% of his field goals with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a good one; he has allowed a colossal 16.7 points per game when playing away from home when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 61.3% of his field goals with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a good one; he has allowed a colossal 16.7 points per game when playing away from home when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Under
-115

Compared to last year's 43.2% mark, Naji Marshall's 3-point prowess has fallen this year to 24.7%. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Naji Marshall will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production for all stats.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Compared to last year's 43.2% mark, Naji Marshall's 3-point prowess has fallen this year to 24.7%. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Naji Marshall will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production for all stats.

P.J. Washington Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington Jr.
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. P.J. Washington will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production across the board.

P.J. Washington Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. P.J. Washington will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production across the board.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 66.0% of his field goal attempts while on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.0 foul shots per game (75th percentile).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.1

Dereck Lively II has sunk 66.0% of his field goal attempts while on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league while playing away from home this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.0 foul shots per game (75th percentile).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

Keegan Murray has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year when playing at home. Keegan Murray has tallied 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Keegan Murray has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year when playing at home. Keegan Murray has tallied 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-118

Zach LaVine has successfully made 11.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Compared to last season's 32.3% rate, Zach LaVine's 3-point ability has increased this season to 43.1%. Zach LaVine has averaged 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

Zach LaVine

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Zach LaVine has successfully made 11.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Compared to last season's 32.3% rate, Zach LaVine's 3-point ability has increased this season to 43.1%. Zach LaVine has averaged 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).

Devin Carter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Carter
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.00
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

Devin Carter has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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