Final May 7
NY 91 10.0 o211.0
BOS 90 -10.0 u211.0
Final May 7
DEN 106 10.5 o230.0
OKC 149 -10.5 u230.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Detroit 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE44-38

Miami @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.4 threes per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.4 threes per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat. Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road. The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat. Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road. The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA).

Tim Hardaway Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Hardaway
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Tim Hardaway

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
+100

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 38.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.1% more than he's made from three in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a good one for shots from downtown; when Duren is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have averaged a massive 2.0 three-pointers per game (100th percentile). The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 38.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.1% more than he's made from three in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a good one for shots from downtown; when Duren is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have averaged a massive 2.0 three-pointers per game (100th percentile). The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-129

Jimmy Butler has sunk 63.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has made 64.3% of his treys over the last 10 games, 26.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (20th percentile). The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Jimmy Butler has sunk 63.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has made 64.3% of his treys over the last 10 games, 26.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (20th percentile). The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Jalen Duren has converted 68.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup with Bam Adebayo comes in at the 96th percentile with the other team's starting Cs converting a monstrous 52.2% of their treys this year. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jalen Duren figures to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jalen Duren

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Jalen Duren has converted 68.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup with Bam Adebayo comes in at the 96th percentile with the other team's starting Cs converting a monstrous 52.2% of their treys this year. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jalen Duren figures to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Under
-115

Jaden Ivey has attempted and missed 4.0 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed from beyond the arc overall this season. When it comes to shooting, the Pistons's lackluster 109.2 points per game playing at home settles in as the 6th-worst in the league this year. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Heat). The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are away from home (4th-least in the league).

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

Jaden Ivey has attempted and missed 4.0 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed from beyond the arc overall this season. When it comes to shooting, the Pistons's lackluster 109.2 points per game playing at home settles in as the 6th-worst in the league this year. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Heat). The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are away from home (4th-least in the league).

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Ausar Thompson will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Ausar Thompson will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Malik Beasley has converted 48.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Malik Beasley has converted 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Malik Beasley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Malik Beasley has converted 48.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Malik Beasley has converted 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Malik Beasley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the league, Cade Cunningham measures in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts playing at home, tallying 18.6 per game this year. Cade Cunningham has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Cade Cunningham registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (8.8). The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Among all players in the league, Cade Cunningham measures in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts playing at home, tallying 18.6 per game this year. Cade Cunningham has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Cade Cunningham registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (8.8). The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 99th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 4.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.7 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 21.2 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pistons, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive production. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 99th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 4.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.7 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 21.2 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pistons, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive production. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic