Miami @ Detroit Picks & Props

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.4 threes per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat. Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road. The matchup against the Detroit Pistons may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA).

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a strong matchup. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tim Hardaway Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 38.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.1% more than he's made from three in all games this season. Bam Adebayo has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a good one for shots from downtown; when Duren is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have averaged a massive 2.0 three-pointers per game (100th percentile). The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Jalen Duren has converted 68.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup with Bam Adebayo comes in at the 96th percentile with the other team's starting Cs converting a monstrous 52.2% of their treys this year. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jalen Duren figures to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jaden Ivey has attempted and missed 4.0 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed from beyond the arc overall this season. When it comes to shooting, the Pistons's lackluster 109.2 points per game playing at home settles in as the 6th-worst in the league this year. The Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Heat). The matchup vs. Miami may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are away from home (4th-least in the league).

Jimmy Butler has sunk 63.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.1% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Jimmy Butler has made 64.3% of his treys over the last 10 games, 26.2% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (20th percentile). The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Ausar Thompson will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Malik Beasley has converted 48.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.5% higher than he's sunk overall this season. Malik Beasley has converted 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season. The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Malik Beasley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Among all players in the league, Cade Cunningham measures in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts playing at home, tallying 18.6 per game this year. Cade Cunningham has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Cade Cunningham registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (8.8). The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 99th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 4.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.7 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 21.2 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pistons, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive production. The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Jaime Jaquez has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Terry Rozier has gone over 10.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Stewart has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Simone Fontecchio has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Ron Holland has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.