OKC -6.5 o228.5
DEN 6.5 u228.5
CLE -5.5 o231.5
IND 5.5 u231.5
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48

Minnesota @ San Antonio props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Stephon Castle Points Scored Props • San Antonio

S. Castle
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.6). The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Stephon Castle has attempted 3.5 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Stephon Castle ought to get a boost in output in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Stephon Castle

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.6). The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Stephon Castle has attempted 3.5 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Stephon Castle ought to get a boost in output in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Devin Vassell has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Devin Vassell has sunk 86.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Devin Vassell will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player performance in all facets of the game.

Devin Vassell

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Devin Vassell has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Devin Vassell has sunk 86.5% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Devin Vassell will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to improve player performance in all facets of the game.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-109

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 62.4% of his shots from the field while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 62.4% of his shots from the field while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Jeremy Sochan Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Sochan
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-150

Jeremy Sochan has successfully made a lowly 15.9% of his 3-pointers this season, quite a bit less than his 29.2 mark last season. Jeremy Sochan has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile). With respect to shot attempts from the field, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league while playing at home this year has been the San Antonio Spurs. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5). The Spurs will likely see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).

Jeremy Sochan

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Jeremy Sochan has successfully made a lowly 15.9% of his 3-pointers this season, quite a bit less than his 29.2 mark last season. Jeremy Sochan has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile). With respect to shot attempts from the field, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league while playing at home this year has been the San Antonio Spurs. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5). The Spurs will likely see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Spurs is a positive one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.2%). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's made in all games this season. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.5 free throws per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs have the home court advantage (8th-most in the league).

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Spurs is a positive one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.2%). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's made in all games this season. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.5 free throws per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs have the home court advantage (8th-most in the league).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 75.1% clip, Chris Paul's free-throw ability has risen this year to 100.0%. Chris Paul will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Chris Paul

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 75.1% clip, Chris Paul's free-throw ability has risen this year to 100.0%. Chris Paul will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-104

Harrison Barnes has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 14th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes rates in the 77th percentile for foul shots made, totaling a massive 2.3 per game this year. Harrison Barnes will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Harrison Barnes has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 14th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes rates in the 77th percentile for foul shots made, totaling a massive 2.3 per game this year. Harrison Barnes will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Julius Randle has made 42.2% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 9.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Julius Randle has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Julius Randle has attempted 5.8 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Julius Randle has made 42.2% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 9.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season. Julius Randle has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Julius Randle has attempted 5.8 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 98th percentile, totaling a colossal 26.3 points per game this year. In comparison to last season's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's three-pointers hit have jumped this season to 4.4 per game. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have compiled the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.5%).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 98th percentile, totaling a colossal 26.3 points per game this year. In comparison to last season's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's three-pointers hit have jumped this season to 4.4 per game. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have compiled the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.5%).

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
+104

Julian Champagnie has attempted 7.2 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Julian Champagnie has failed to convert 0.2 foul shot attempts per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 24th percentile for misses . Julian Champagnie will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production across the board.

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Julian Champagnie has attempted 7.2 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Julian Champagnie has failed to convert 0.2 foul shot attempts per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 24th percentile for misses . Julian Champagnie will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production across the board.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Jaden McDaniels has played 30.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing away from home. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Jaden McDaniels has played 30.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Jaden McDaniels has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 20.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing away from home. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the San Antonio Spurs are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Victor Wembanyama has sunk 11.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year playing at home. Victor Wembanyama has attempted 10.8 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.2 minutes per game this year. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

Victor Wembanyama has sunk 11.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.9 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year playing at home. Victor Wembanyama has attempted 10.8 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the league, Victor Wembanyama rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.2 minutes per game this year. The 10th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Spurs. The Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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