Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Washington 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE18-64
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Washington @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home. The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. Among all players in the NBA, Kel'el Ware ranks in the 23rd percentile for free-throw effectiveness while on his home court with a lackluster 67.1% rate this year.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home. The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat. Among all players in the NBA, Kel'el Ware ranks in the 23rd percentile for free-throw effectiveness while on his home court with a lackluster 67.1% rate this year.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

AJ Johnson Points Scored Props • Washington

A. Johnson
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

AJ Johnson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Justin Champagnie Points Scored Props • Washington

J. Champagnie
small forward SF • Washington
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-128
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-128
Projection Rating

The Wizards have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards.

Justin Champagnie

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

The Wizards have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Kyshawn George Points Scored Props • Washington

K. George
shooting guard SG • Washington
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Kyshawn George comes in at the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Wizards's poor 95.4 points per game rates fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Wizards have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards. Kyshawn George should suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Kyshawn George

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Out of all players in the league, Kyshawn George comes in at the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. As it relates to offense, the Wizards's poor 95.4 points per game rates fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Wizards have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards. Kyshawn George should suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 15.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 lower than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 15.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 lower than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has shot and missed 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Haywood Highsmith has shot and missed 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Heat check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court in terms of three-point attempts. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA at home this year. The Washington Wizards have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Carlton Carrington Points Scored Props • Washington

C. Carrington
point guard PG • Washington
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Bub Carrington has sunk 48.4% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 16.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Bub Carrington has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bub Carrington has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Carlton Carrington

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Bub Carrington has sunk 48.4% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 16.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Bub Carrington has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Bub Carrington has averaged 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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