Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Detroit 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE44-38

Dallas @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has made 46.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 16.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while on the road. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. In contrast to last season's 80.7% mark, Naji Marshall's free-throw efficiency has surged this season to 89.6%.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Naji Marshall has made 46.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 16.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while on the road. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Mavericks. In contrast to last season's 80.7% mark, Naji Marshall's free-throw efficiency has surged this season to 89.6%.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-118

Daniel Gafford has converted 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Daniel Gafford has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The clash with Jalen Duren slots into just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs converting a whopping 1.5 threes per game this year when they are playing on the road. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Daniel Gafford has converted 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Daniel Gafford has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The clash with Jalen Duren slots into just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs converting a whopping 1.5 threes per game this year when they are playing on the road. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
-137

Out of all players in the league, Cade Cunningham slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Out of all players in the league, Cade Cunningham slots into the 86th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jalen Duren has made 6.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this season. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when Gafford is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game (86th percentile).

Jalen Duren

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jalen Duren has made 6.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this season. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The matchup against Daniel Gafford is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when Gafford is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game (86th percentile).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson measures in the 79th percentile for shots, putting up 11.8 per game this year. Klay Thompson has made 53.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 16.2% higher than he's made from three overall this year. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one; when the Detroit Pistons are at home, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson measures in the 79th percentile for shots, putting up 11.8 per game this year. Klay Thompson has made 53.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 16.2% higher than he's made from three overall this year. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup vs. Detroit is a positive one; when the Detroit Pistons are at home, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs over the last 16 games (19.5). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Detroit

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley comes in at the 83rd percentile for shots from the field, tallying 13.2 per game this year. Compared to last year's 2.8 rate, Malik Beasley's threes made have surged this year to 3.7 per game. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Malik Beasley

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Among all players in the NBA, Malik Beasley comes in at the 83rd percentile for shots from the field, tallying 13.2 per game this year. Compared to last year's 2.8 rate, Malik Beasley's threes made have surged this year to 3.7 per game. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.9
Best Odds
Under
-106

P.J. Washington has missed 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range in all games this year when playing on the road. P.J. Washington has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. P.J. Washington will likely experience a decrease in output in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.9

P.J. Washington has missed 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range in all games this year when playing on the road. P.J. Washington has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 3.0 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a difficult matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. P.J. Washington will likely experience a decrease in output in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Tobias Harris Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Harris
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-130

Tobias Harris has sunk 58.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court. Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.1 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Tobias Harris

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Tobias Harris has sunk 58.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court. Among all players in the league, Tobias Harris ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.1 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Detroit

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Tim Hardaway Jr. has scored 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 7.0 higher than he's scored over the course of the season at home. Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season on his home court. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a strong matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Tim Hardaway Jr. has scored 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 7.0 higher than he's scored over the course of the season at home. Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season on his home court. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a strong matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-113

Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Spencer Dinwiddie will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Spencer Dinwiddie has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA as the visting team with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Spencer Dinwiddie will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Kyrie Irving has tallied 24.2 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.8 minutes per game this year. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup against the Pistons is a good one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

Kyrie Irving has tallied 24.2 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 35.8 minutes per game this year. The Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup against the Pistons is a good one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

Ausar Thompson Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-136

Ausar Thompson has converted 51.8% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Ausar Thompson stands to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Ausar Thompson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Ausar Thompson has converted 51.8% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA. The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Pistons. Offensive rebounds save possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Ausar Thompson stands to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Ronald Holland II Points Scored Props • Detroit

R. Holland II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.17
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.17
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120

Ronald Holland II has gone over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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