Final May 4
IND 121 8.5 o228.5
CLE 112 -8.5 u228.5
Final May 4
GS 103 2.5 o206.0
HOU 89 -2.5 u206.0
Brooklyn 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE26-56
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Brooklyn @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Johnson Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

K. Johnson
shooting guard SG • Brooklyn
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Keon Johnson has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Keon Johnson has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have posted 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Keon Johnson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Keon Johnson has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Keon Johnson has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have posted 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Russell Westbrook has sunk 57.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 11.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a good one for three-pointers; when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.5). The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nets are the visiting squad (6th-most in the NBA).

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Russell Westbrook has sunk 57.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 11.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a good one for three-pointers; when the Brooklyn Nets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.5). The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nets are the visiting squad (6th-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nets). The Denver Nuggets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Nic Claxton is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Claxton is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game (10th percentile).

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.1
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.1

The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nets). The Denver Nuggets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Nic Claxton is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when Claxton is on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game (10th percentile).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has made 55.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on his home court. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. Peyton Watson will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production for all stats.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Peyton Watson has made 55.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 7.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year while on his home court. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. Peyton Watson will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production for all stats.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-106

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Michael Porter

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 7.0 baskets per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 33.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.7 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 36.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.2). The matchup against Keon Johnson is a favorable one for three-point shots; when guarding opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a whopping 39.3% of their three-point attempts (83rd percentile).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Jamal Murray has attempted 15.7 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 36.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.2). The matchup against Keon Johnson is a favorable one for three-point shots; when guarding opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a whopping 39.3% of their three-point attempts (83rd percentile).

Ziaire Williams Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

Z. Williams
small forward SF • Brooklyn
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

Ziaire Williams has successfully made 36.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Ziaire Williams has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (92nd percentile). The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year. The Nets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Ziaire Williams

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Ziaire Williams has successfully made 36.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Ziaire Williams has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (92nd percentile). The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year. The Nets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Ben Simmons Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

B. Simmons
point guard PG • Brooklyn
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+106

Ben Simmons has sunk 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets. Ben Simmons has sunk 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Ben Simmons

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Ben Simmons has sunk 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets. Ben Simmons has sunk 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the league, Christian Braun slots into the 86th percentile for scoring ability on his home court with a terrific 56.0% rate this year. In contrast to last year's 19.8 rate, Christian Braun's playing time has increased this year to 33.5 minutes per game. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 19.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, marking this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Christian Braun

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Out of all players in the league, Christian Braun slots into the 86th percentile for scoring ability on his home court with a terrific 56.0% rate this year. In contrast to last year's 19.8 rate, Christian Braun's playing time has increased this year to 33.5 minutes per game. With respect to scoring, the Nuggets's stellar 122.9 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have registered 19.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, marking this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Nic Claxton Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

N. Claxton
center C • Brooklyn
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Nic Claxton rates in the 7th percentile for 3-point performance while playing away from home with a poor 0.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Nic Claxton registers in the 12th percentile for three-point attempts while playing on the road, compiling 0.3 per game this year. The Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year. The Nets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Nic Claxton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Nic Claxton

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Among all players in the NBA, Nic Claxton rates in the 7th percentile for 3-point performance while playing away from home with a poor 0.0% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Nic Claxton registers in the 12th percentile for three-point attempts while playing on the road, compiling 0.3 per game this year. The Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year. The Nets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Nic Claxton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

Noah Clowney Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

N. Clowney
power forward PF • Brooklyn
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Noah Clowney has converted 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this year when playing on the road. Noah Clowney has tallied 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 9.3 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets. Noah Clowney has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Noah Clowney

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Noah Clowney has converted 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this year when playing on the road. Noah Clowney has tallied 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 9.3 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets. Noah Clowney has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Day'Ron Sharpe Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

D. Sharpe
center C • Brooklyn
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Day'Ron Sharpe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

The Brooklyn Nets check in as the most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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