Dallas @ Miami Picks & Props

Relative to last year's 30.7% rate, P.J. Washington's three-point efficiency has decreased this year to 20.3%. When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-slowest tempo home team in the league this year (the Heat). P.J. Washington has sunk 57.1% of his foul shots this year, ranking in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.

Bam Adebayo has converted 53.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's converted overall this season. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Dereck Lively II places in the 96th percentile with an enormous 12.3 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 91st percentile for getting to the charity stripe, registering a whopping 5.0 foul shot attempts per game with the home court advantage this year.

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 68.7% of his shots from the field while on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Daniel Gafford has attempted 2.9 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier places in the 75th percentile for three-point ability while at home with an exceptional 42.6% rate this year. Terry Rozier has attempted 6.0 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Terry Rozier slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year. The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith lands in the 11th percentile for foul-shot performance with a weak 54.2% rate this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving comes in at the 97th percentile for shots sunk, putting up a whopping 9.0 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 93rd percentile for three-pointers drained, posting 2.9 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive production. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Klay Thompson has attempted 8.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson rates in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a measly 1.3 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when squaring off against other starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 47.0% of their three-pointers (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat. The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 74.2% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a colossal 52.6% of their three-pointers (97th percentile). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.0 minutes per game this year. The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Jimmy Butler has sunk 86.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Jimmy Butler will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production across the board.

Quentin Grimes has successfully made 50.6% of his treys away from home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Quentin Grimes has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Naji Marshall has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.