Dallas @ Oklahoma City Picks & Props

The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%). The 7th-most lethargic tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. Klay Thompson has attempted a lowly 0.7 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 1.8 rate last season. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been bad at getting to the free-throw line when playing on the road: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 19.8 free throws per game. Klay Thompson will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Cason Wallace has successfully made 45.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 9.6% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season while at home. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Relative to last year's 77.5% mark, Cason Wallace's free-throw prowess has surged this year to 100.0%.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Among all players in the league, Aaron Wiggins rates in the 89th percentile for three-point efficiency when playing at home with an excellent 51.0% rate this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. The matchup vs. Dallas may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (6th-most in the NBA).

Among all players in the league, Isaiah Joe comes in at the 82nd percentile for 3-point attempts playing at home, posting 5.9 per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Isaiah Joe has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Luka Doncic has attempted 23.2 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Jalen Williams has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The faceoff with Dereck Lively II slots into the 10th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring only 0.2 three-pointers per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 97th percentile for shots from the field converted, compiling a whopping 9.4 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 93rd percentile for three-point performance while playing away from home with a terrific 55.8% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 35.0 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Quentin Grimes has converted 51.0% of his 3-point attempts while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington has sunk a measly 18.6% of his shots from downtown this season, a significant dropoff from his 30.7 rate last season. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (46.3%). The 7th-most lethargic tempo away team in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks. Compared to last year's 64.2% clip, P.J. Washington's free-throw effectiveness has fallen this year to 33.3%. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been bad at getting to the free-throw line when playing on the road: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 19.8 free throws per game.

Dereck Lively II has sunk 72.2% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). The showdown with Jalen Williams as it relates to getting to the free-throw line slots into only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.4 free throws per game this year when they are away from home.

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup. The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year. Luguentz Dort is expected to get a boost in output in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Daniel Gafford has converted 82.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.9% more than he's converted overall this season. The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Naji Marshall has gone over 7.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Ousmane Dieng has gone over 6.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Jaden Hardy has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.